Texas GOP Senate Runoff

[Keystone Phil]

Toomey endorsed Cruz.

[RogueBeaver]

DeMint, Palin and Rand Paul are stumping for Cruz today. Santorum's headlining a Dallas rally tomorrow.

My early prediction: Cruz by 10-12.

[stegosaurus]

DeMint, Palin and Rand Paul are stumping for Cruz today. Santorum's headlining a Dallas rally tomorrow.

My early prediction: Cruz by 10-12.

In other news, The Texas Conservatives Fund (Pro-Dewhurst SuperPAC) just dropped another 500,000$ into anti-Cruz advertising. This is why Dewhurst is going to lose the run-off. There is no grassroots presence for Dewhurst, no buzz, and certainly no conservative celebrity support of this magnitude. He's hoping he can spend and slander his way to the nod, but that's not how run off elections. I believe it's evidence that Dewhurst has never faced a serious opponent, he looks politically inexperienced next to the polished Cruz.

I stand by my prediction, Cruz breaks 60%.

[RogueBeaver]

Hopefully you're right. A Hoosier margin would be awesome.

On the money: Mostly his or lobbyists'. Doesn't surprise me. Romney in 2008 was mostly self-funded. Ditto the CEO triplets in 2010. All lost.

Another question: effect on 2014 for both Dewhurst and Perry, if any?

[RogueBeaver]

Palin's speech.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=0CPFyYHRV_o#!

[CatoMinor]

I'm normally not one to criticize ones fashion, but what is she wearing? Those sunglasses and booth and booths stitched onto dress makes here look like some rich suburban Californian lady failing hard at pretending to be a Texan

[Kushahontas]

more interested in the D runoff in TX-23 than the senate race tbh

[Brittain33]

She looks absurd.

[RogueBeaver]

PPP: Cruz ahead decently but not safely. Leads with early and youth voters, Dewhurst w/seniors. Final poll out late tomorrow.

[RogueBeaver]

Cruzin'.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/79092.html?hp=t1

[Keystone Phil]

Let's not get too cocky. A friend of mine (eh...some of you would know him) is in Cruz's inner circle and thinks they're up by about five. That's not insurmountable. Cruz has the grassroots momentum but let's hope it doesn't die down and the establishment army doesn't show up with their A game.

Cruz said in that article that they're on the two yard line. Don't spike the football when we didn't get into the endzone yet.

[RogueBeaver]

PPP topline: Cruz 52, Dewhurst 42. "Very clear trend" per Jensen. Full results by 11 or so.

[Keystone Phil]

Cruz up 55% to 40% with those that already voted.

[tmthforu94]

*sigh*

It's not impossible, but its not looking good for Team Dewhurst.

[Miles]

*sigh*

It's not impossible, but its not looking good for Team Dewhurst.

I agree. Its a shame the TX GOP is on track to replace KBH with Ted Cruz, in my view.

[RogueBeaver]

31% of Texans are more likely to vote for a Palin-backed candidate to 16% for a Perry-backed one. Ouch. Another Oops moment with the grassroots. KBH read the mood better than Perry did.

[RogueBeaver]

Here's the full poll.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TX_729.pdf

[tmthforu94]

*sigh*

It's not impossible, but its not looking good for Team Dewhurst.

I agree. Its a shame the TX GOP is on track to replace KBH with Ted Cruz, in my view.

I actually don't mind Cruz too much. I'm sure he'll make a fine US Senator. I just know Governor Perry, and I have met Dewhurst, which is why I'd like for him to win. At least if he loses, he'll still be Leut. Governor.

[stegosaurus]

Cruz leads by 30 pts (63-33) with those 'very excited' to vote. Those voters win run off elections; stick a fork in Dewhurst.

[CatoMinor]

Hopefully this is a sign of things to come for the 2014 Texas races. Perry barely avoided a run-off in 2010 I doubt he'll be so lucky in 2 years

[RogueBeaver]

Perry's already badly damaged. By a 2-1 margin Texas Republicans see his endorsement as a negative and even in April he only led Abbott 50-34. But that doesn't matter because Teepers are fairly happy with Perry's governance as opposed to his endorsements.

[CatoMinor]

Today's the day.

Time for Dewhurst to go down in flames. For those paying attention to the race I cannot see how any of them are still Dewhurst supporters after his tasteless ads.

[RogueBeaver]

He gets the 30-something moderate vote that KBH did in 2010. Being somewhat (i.e. what Collins is to Snowe) more conservative than her, there's some growth room. I'd be surprised if he hit 45.

[M]

He gets the 30-something moderate vote that KBH did in 2010. Being somewhat (i.e. what Collins is to Snowe) more conservative than her, there's some growth room. I'd be surprised if he hit 45.

Ish. Dewhurst is in the same faction/ideological-zone as Perry. And KBH got some "change" voters in '10, and they'd be for Cruz.

[CLARENCE 2015!]

I'm disappointed in this race... Dewhurst is far more qualified and I would have loved to support him- but those ads were vile. I've watched some of Cruz's statements and he is a smart, qualified individual and I saw him begin a debate answer on qualifications by recognizing Dewhurt's service... I hope he will be a fine US Senator if elected and remember why he ran in the first place