An easy way to predict the election (user search)
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Author Topic: An easy way to predict the election  (Read 1981 times)
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« on: July 18, 2012, 12:52:17 PM »

Romney's major problem is that as bad as Obama's approvals are, his are even worse.  Unless he can get his up to at least parity (or Obama's down to his), it will be difficult for him to win.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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Atlas Legend
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Posts: 42,144
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2012, 08:40:53 PM »

Romney's major problem is that as bad as Obama's approvals are, his are even worse.  Unless he can get his up to at least parity (or Obama's down to his), it will be difficult for him to win.

I refer you to "the Incumbent Rule" described above.

That incumbent rule works because in most cases the challenger has equal or better favorable ratings than the incumbent.  Right now Romney's are worse.
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