NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points (user search)
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  NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points (search mode)
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Author Topic: NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points  (Read 4688 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« on: July 18, 2012, 03:19:34 PM »
Obama won New Mexico by 15 in 2008. Among the voters in this poll, he won by only 8. So he's really winning New Mexico by 11 or 12.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2012, 03:24:46 PM »
Quote from: a Person on July 18, 2012, 03:22:43 PM
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on July 18, 2012, 03:19:34 PM
Obama won New Mexico by 15 in 2008. Among the voters in this poll, he won by only 8. So he's really winning New Mexico by 11 or 12.
Do you not understand the concept of different turnout?

Do the math. 5 + 7 = 12.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2012, 03:27:56 PM »
Quote from: DrScholl on July 18, 2012, 02:12:49 PM
I'm thinking that PPP is probably tweaking numbers a bit because of complaints over bias.

In other words, they caved to the Tea Party like the rest of the media.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92
« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2012, 03:32:41 PM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on July 18, 2012, 03:30:42 PM
That said, if you believe CNN exit polls, and perhaps you should not, President George W. Bush came close to accomplishing your 'ridiculous' scenario in 2004 when he won the state's electoral votes. As stated in that exit poll,  President George W. Bush won 15% of Democrats while losing independents.

If only 15% of Democrats were pro-Bush turncoats, Romney won't get 21% of Democrats now.
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