NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 04:53:22 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NM: Public Policy Polling: Obama's lead down to 4-5 points  (Read 4653 times)
MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 779
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: 0.52

« on: July 18, 2012, 03:22:16 PM »

LOL at everyone whining about the crosstabs. This poll is D+19! But Romney doesn't have a chance, huh?

Even more interesting to me is the fact that when you add Gary Johnson to the equation, Obama's lead over Romney drops from 5 to 4 points, 42-38-13%.
Logged
MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 779
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: 0.52

« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2012, 03:27:35 PM »

Do you not understand the concept of different turnout?

Do the math. 5 + 7 = 12.

So I believe the answer to that is NO, a Person.
Logged
MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 779
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: 0.52

« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2012, 10:29:42 PM »

I'm not speaking at all for the veracity of PPP's polls (I personally think they skew too Democratic), but I see nothing bizarre with the actual result in this one. Sure, Romney's taking too many Democrats, and Obama probably hasn't dropped as much with hispanics as crosstabs indicate, but most polls have pretty weird looking crosstabs somewhere. Bottom line is New Mexico was actually carried by Bush by 1 point in 2004, lost by Bush in 2000 by .06%, and won by Obama by 15 in 2008. What's so hard to believe about a 49-44% result in New Mexico given electoral history, putting aside PPP's crosstabs?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 14 queries.