If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for which candidate would you vote?
47-45 Obama
...
12 Swing States only:
46-46
...
• 1000 likely voters, including an oversample to reach 462 voters in 12 battleground states, selected randomly from a random-digit-dialing sample including both cellular and landline telephone numbers. Interviews were conducted July 9-12, 2012.
• 12 battleground states: CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, VA, and WI.
http://www.npr.org/news/polls/npr.pdf