Spain election maps

[Niemeyerite]

Great maps!

I usually go to Llanes (Asturias) on holidays, it's good to see it voted for Javi in 2011 and 2012, even if I've always known they vote PSOE. 2011 was a really bad year, and we still managed to keep Llanes.
Galicia is another story... My mother's family lived in Mondariz. They were republicans, so they moved to Belo Horizonte after the war (some of them were already living in Manaus and others in Uruguay). It seems that they were the unique socialist family living in villages and "aldeas" pontevedrenses . And their sons and daughters now vote DEM/PSDB in Brazil...
I guess Feijoo will beat PSdeG and BNG again this time.

[Niemeyerite]

And we have a new ELPAIS poll:

PP 30% (-7%)
PSOE 24.7 (+1.6)
IU 12.3 (-0.9)
UPyD 9.9 (+2.1)

It's pretty obvious that PP's declining because even its voters don't like the "recortes" and the big possibility of being bailouted. And some of them are going to UPyD.

The ELMUNDO poll from last week:

PP 35.8%
PSOE 29.6
IU 11.7
UPyD 7.8

But things have changed since then.

What do you think? Is there a possibility of a left-majority (PSOE-IU-BNG-ERC-Compromis-Equo-Bildu-NaBai-PRC) Parliament in the case we have new elections? (it won't happen, I know)

With those numbers, IU could have a possibility in Coruña (!), Valladolid (!), Murcia and Cadiz, I believe. And UPyD could be nearing 20% in Avila (!!).

[Niemeyerite]

You have a new map, I have a new poll (CELESTE-TEL). If you don't mind, I'll post them here, as this is the only active thread about Spain elections:

PP.................... 34,2% (152/154 escaños)
PSOE ..............29,5% (118/121 escaños)
IU ....................10.7% (19/20 escaños)
UPyD............... 8.7% (12/13 escaños)
CIU ................. 4.3% (15 escaños)
EHB................. 1.5% (07 escaños)
PNV..................1.7% (06 escaños)
ERC..................1,5% (04/05 escaños)
BNG .................1,1% (02/03 escaños)
CC/NC .............0.6% (02/03 escaños)
COMPROMÍS...1.9% (03/04 escaños)
FAC..................0.6% (01 escaño)
GBAI ............... 0.2% (01 escaño)

I didn't know this pollster until today, but they were decently accurate last year.

[Niemeyerite]

Soo, you decided to start those Catalunyan maps Qué valiente!! jaja

[Niemeyerite]

CIS has always been a bipartisan hack . But this poll was taken before the "recortes" that are killing the economy... So, I'd say UPyD is being underestimated and PP (but also PSOE) way overstimated.

And the map is wonderful, I knew I'd see a lot of 'red' there, but I'm glad to see 'green' too I have cousins living in Sant Pere de Ribes. They vote PSC or CiU, depending on the situation. I guess they voted PSC that time, they usually vote for the winner.

[Niemeyerite]

Beautiful.

[Niemeyerite]

Beautiful.

[Niemeyerite]

Horrible Maps, ugh. But.. Buen trabajo

[Niemeyerite]

Do you still want maps of the Madrid elections? ...I know you loove Esperanza Aguirre . By the moment I'll post soon a map that I made of Aragón, which is a region that I like because of family links. I just need to draw the provincial boundaries (I felt too lazy to do so with Valencia).  At least the PSPV won Benidorm in the municipal elections, though lost Elche to the PP. In a sidenote, Orihuela and Villena, in the province of Alicante, elected green mayors thanks to anti-PP coalitions. The PP mayoress of Orihuela was as beautiful as incompetent. Orihuela, the town where the poet Miguel Hernández was born, is so conservative that it was a kind of miracle that PP didn't get an absolute majority there...

It'd be disgusting to see the "blue" Madrid, but, hey, do it. Fuenlabrada is still red haha..

Do you know why Orihuela has a green mayor? he finished 4th after PSPV and some local party. BTW, Orihuela = Murcia.

[Niemeyerite]

Wow, the Aragon map is beautiful (el bipartidismo ha muerto)! But, it was better when it was uglier and red was dominating the maps...

And the 2003 election in Madrid was the last time Sanse was won by PSOE, so I like the map. I probably hate the 2003.2. map, you'll have to show it for me. What I know is that my father couldn't vote in 2003.1. but voted in 2003.2. (people did the opposite thing )

[Niemeyerite]

Ugh.

[Niemeyerite]

I saw this yesterday on your blog. Glad to see Sanse is "less blue" than Alcobendas, Colmenar, Tres Cantos and other towns in the region.

[Niemeyerite]

I saw this yesterday on your blog. Glad to see Sanse is "less blue" than Alcobendas, Colmenar, Tres Cantos and other towns in the region.

And it's slightly more red, cause it's the only municipality in the northern periphery of Madrid where PSOE breaks 25% (more concretely, 26.65%), but still PP got 49.45% of the vote and UPyD 10.76%, while IU came behind with 8.43% and Equo only got 1.78%. A bit disappointing for IU and Equo, given that you had an IU/ later independent green mayor.  

However, my favourite area in the Madrid region is La Sierra Norte, just for the trivial reason that some small villages gave curious results, like Puebla de la Sierra, where 3 people voted for Anticapitalistas, a 6.38% of the 47 votes cast. With the same percentage in the whole Madrid there would be 2 guys or gals of the anticapitalist left in the Congress of Deputies, but the list only got a 0.13%. I'd like to meet the three anticapitalist guys or gals living in that village

Cuando vino Tomás Gómez a Sanse se quedo impresionado por la afluencia al mitin que preparamos. Y la campaña fue todo un bombazo aquí, así que supongo que tiene algo que ver. De hecho, la noche electoral en Madrid había uno llorando (en Ferraz) y le dijo a una compañera: bueno, por lo menos en Sanse habremos ganado [la alcaldía], no?. Obviamente no lo hicimos, tras tres años de PSOE dividido en el pueblo y en plena marea azul, y además un partido de izquierdas local que son "los más guays" y nos quitan votos en las locales (mi padre, socialista de toda la vida, los ha votado 3 veces -no en 2011-). Pero visto ahora objetivamente parece ser que algo hicimos bien para que la tonalidad en las regionales fuera un rojo un pelín más oscuro... O quizá no tiene nada que ver y siempre hemos sido más rojos, no sé. Prefiero pensar que sí jaja..

Pero una cosa, tengo entendido que el PSOE sacó un 27% en Sanse (e IU superó el 10%) y un 25 y pico % en Alcobendas... No sé si son mis fuentes o las tuyas las incorrectas, espero que sean las mías porque yo no he hecho ningún mapa todavía y me fastidiaría jajaja

[Niemeyerite]

Pero una cosa, tengo entendido que el PSOE sacó un 27% en Sanse (e IU superó el 10%) y un 25 y pico % en Alcobendas... No sé si son mis fuentes o las tuyas las incorrectas, espero que sean las mías porque yo no he hecho ningún mapa todavía y me fastidiaría jajaja

Alcobendas: PP 53.11%; PSOE 24.7%; UPyD 11.38%; IU 6.44%; Equo 1.68%.

http://www.infoelectoral.mir.es/min/busquedaAvanzadaAction.html;jsessionid=87EBEDC0825E6AC71BE218A513803820.app2

The data that I gave before for San Sebastián de los Reyes is the same (archivo electoral del Ministerio del Interior).

Ah, sí, perdona. Creía que el mapa era sobre las regionales. Las generales sí cuadran (ahora lo veo claro: ELECCIONES GENERALES jajaja). Ahora sí cobra sentido, porque ya me extrañaba a mí: aquí UPyD sacó muy poco en las regionales y sin embargo superó a IU en las generales. Yo lo llamaría el efecto Izquierda Independiente.

[Niemeyerite]

Plz keep it in English, this is interesting stuff for us honkies as well.

OK, my (bad) translation of what Julio was telling in the previous post:

"When Tomás Gómez (general secretary of the Madrid PSOE's branch and rival of Rubalcaba) came to Sanse (San Sebastián de los Reyes, a suburban municipality to the north of Madrid city), he got impressed with the concurrence in the rally that we (the local socialists) have prepared. The campaign here was a smash hit. In the election night there was someone crying in Ferraz (PSOE's HQs in Madrid) and told to a comrade, 'at least we won in Sanse, didn't we?' Obviously we didn't, after three years of internal division in the town and in the middle of the blue's (PP) high tide and, besides, an independent left local party that steal our votes because they are the coolest. My father, diehard socialist, voted for the independent left three times, but not in 2011. However, looking with some perspective, it seems that we did something good here to see the colour red slightly darker... or maybe it has not relation and we've been always more red than our neighbouring municipalities, I don't know"

Haha, thanks, Dani. I think I'd have been able to translate that, but I was in a hurry and I had to write fast, something I can't do in English. And I enjoy writing in Spanish in an English-only forum . People should learn our great language!!!!

-------------------------------
Dicho esto, el mapa mola mucho. Se lo voy a enseñar a los líderes del PSOE aquí en Sanse para que tengan un motivo para ser optimistas, creo que se lo merecen, porque cada pasito que dan, va el PSOE nacional y retrocede 10 pasos (sea Pepiño, sea Ponferrada, sea un "monarquísmo" de algún lider...).

That said, the map rocks. I'll show it to PSOE leaders in Sanse [my town], so they have a reason to be optimistic, I think they deserve it, because each little step they advance, the national PSOE goes back 10 (Pepiño Blanco -former Secretary of Transportation- corruption cases, Ponferrada scandal, some random socialist standing up for the monarchy...).

Me llama la atención San Martín de Valdeiglesias, pasaron de un alcalde facha a uno socialista (el que estuvo hasta 2007) en 2011, es muy bipartidista en tu mapa y además muy azul... Qué pueblo tan raro.

It draws my attention that San Martin de Valdeiglesias elected a socialist mayor in 2011 (the same mayor they had before 2007, when PP won), that it's very bi-partisan in your map and very blue... What a strange place.

[Niemeyerite]

Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

[Niemeyerite]

PSOE is dead, I know...

[Niemeyerite]

I prefer the new logo, by far.

PSOE is dead right now, it is. We try to change things, but we can't. Rubalcaba is part of the problem, but I think pretty much everyone is lost right now: Chacón, Patxi, Trini, Tomás...
I'm not supporting Patxi López anymore... There's a new possible candidate that I like more... Maybe you know her more than I do, because she's not from the Península . Patricia Hernández is my new favourite. I don't think she'll run, but I loooove her. I'm doing everything possible to have her come to Sanse and give a speech or something like that.

I predict she won't run (if I start thinking about it, she shouldn't, but people like her!) so I'll continue trying to have Patxi as our new leader (if we finnaly have primaries, I think Sanse will vote for him ). But I'm liking Madina a lot. And, what's more dangerous... I'm loving Alberto Garzón and Gaspar Llamazares (I always liked him).

[Niemeyerite]

We have our first candidate. I don't dislike him, but if I have to vote for him, that means PCPE will get more votes than PSOE. Joan Mesquida:

http://www.publico.es/456527/mesquida-irrumpe-el-proximo-dia-11-oficialmente-en-la-batalla-del-psoe

[Niemeyerite]

From Nanwe (he can't post links):

http://tinypic.com/view.php?pic=35layhy&s=5

Salud y República!

[Niemeyerite]

When I read Andy, I feel we have the same opinions on everything. We should form a new party or something.

Now that this is off-topic enough, what's your opinion about Miguel Ángel Revilla? For those who are not Spaniards, he served as President of Cantabria from 2003 to 2011 in a coalition with socialists. In 2011, PP won an absolute majority but the "Partido Regionalista cántabro" got the best results ever, with almost 30% of the vote.

I actually like the guy, I had the opportunity to meet him on the Feria del Libro, last weekend, and decided to buy his book. I've just finished reading it. It was really fun and at the same time I think he has some good ideas on the economy.

[Niemeyerite]

Thanks for the maps, Dani. And you won't find "university districts... I study in the UAM and nobody who comes from other provinces votes here in Madrid.

I'm still waiting for your email in response to my last one

[Niemeyerite]

I would be interested in the results of Lavapiés in Centro. My old stomping ground...

I guess you won't be surprised to know that your old stomping ground is a left-wing bastion. Lavapiés belongs to an administrative neighbourhood called Embajadores.

Embajadores (Centro): Podemos 20.14%, PP 19.5%, IU 16.73%, PSOE 16.51%, UPyD 7,15%, PE/Equo 6.24%, Cs 2.96%, Vox 1.72%. Valid votes cast: 14511.

It was the highest result for both Podemos and Equo in Madrid and the only one where the Pablo Iglesias list won a plurality in the EP elections. Besides, it was one of the strongest IU results with more votes than PSOE. Lavapiés is clearly leaning to the alternative/radical left.

Thanks for the maps, Dani. And you won't find "university districts... I study in the UAM and nobody who comes from other provinces votes here in Madrid.

I'm still waiting for your email in response to my last one

I've been once or twice in Ciudad Universitaria, but never in the UAM campus. Well, I can tell you the results in the nearby El Goloso neighbourhood, in the Fuencarral-El Pardo district. Perhaps you know the reason why UPyD, Cs and Vox are so strong there.

PP 30.9%, UPyD 15.23%, PSOE 9,99%, Cs 8.98%, Vox 8.77%, Podemos 8.3%, IU 7.6%, PE 2.48%. Valid votes cast: 5725.

I was thinking that I replied your last e-mail. Anyway, I can send you another Didn't I comment with you the results in La Castellana? You will adore them.

Castellana (Salamanca): PP 60.22%, Vox 11.1%, PSOE 6.56%, UPyD 5.82%, Cs 5.3%, Podemos 2.66%, IU 2.58%, PE 0.88%. Valid votes cast: 7145.

I'll check my email again, maybe I just didn't see it (I receive lots of junk mail so sometimes I don't see some of the "good" ones haahaha).

LoL at La Castellana. I go through there almost every day, but didn't know it was such an ugly place. TBH, the Socialist Youth usually goes there to distribute propaganda. Maybe we should search another place... Which is the friendlier one for us in the centre-centre/north of Madrid?

I don't know why the people in El Goloso are so insane, but I can tell you that not many students live there... And people who come to the UAM from other provinces skew conservative (at least in my class, they look rich).

[Niemeyerite]

Thank you for the information. And yes, we go to the Castellana because students who come from the north of Madrid to the UCM or UCIII usually pick the bus there