Will Democrats gain 25 seats gross in the House?

[Miles]

Maybe they net 12-15. Tops.

[Miles]

Maybe they net 12-15. Tops.

This is my prediction.

I used to think 25 was possible, but redistricting was a cruel mistress

[Miles]

Maybe they net 12-15. Tops.

This is my prediction.

I used to think 25 was possible, but redistricting was a cruel mistress

 And somehow NC ended up with a Republican gerrymander despite a Democratic governor.

Redistricting in NC is purely a legislative process, the Governor has no role in it.

Back in the 1990's, the Democratic legislature didn't want to give Gov. Jim Martin (R) veto power because they were afraid he'd veto their maps. This time, it worked the Republicans' favor...

[Miles]

Maybe they net 12-15. Tops.

This is my prediction.

I used to think 25 was possible, but redistricting was a cruel mistress

 And somehow NC ended up with a Republican gerrymander despite a Democratic governor.

Redistricting in NC is purely a legislative process, the Governor has no role in it.

Back in the 1990's, the Democratic legislature didn't want to give Gov. Jim Martin (R) veto power because they were afraid he'd veto their maps. This time, it worked the Republicans' favor...

Back then the prospect of the GOP taking the legislature was as remote a possibility as anything could be. But a GOP Governor was a real possibility since they had Martin at the time.

Though even if there was a veto, I am pretty sure that an override would have been possible as only one defection would have been necessary. What do you think about that Miles?

Thats a good question. The R's would already have the votes in the Senate to override a veto, but they'd actually need to peel-off 4 Democrats in the House (to get 72/120). Some of the more conservative Democrats are from the southeastern region, IIRC, so I don't think they'd vote for a plan that hurt McIntyre. Still, given the Democrats' general lack of unity during the budget dealings, an override wouldn't seem impossible.

[Miles]

Have we worked out the amount if safe, lean, and toss-up Congressional seats?

Fuzzy and I made a map like that a few months ago, but I'll probably update it soon.

[Miles]

Have we worked out the amount if safe, lean, and toss-up Congressional seats?

Fuzzy and I made a map like that a few months ago, but I'll probably update it soon.

I'd love to help. Would be great to have a good guess as to what the House will look like before election day.

Sure, any help would be appreciated.