NBC-WAll Street Journal: Obama 49 Romney 43
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  NBC-WAll Street Journal: Obama 49 Romney 43
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Author Topic: NBC-WAll Street Journal: Obama 49 Romney 43  (Read 1743 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« on: July 24, 2012, 05:40:59 PM »

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/12768_July_Poll.pdf
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2012, 05:41:21 PM »

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/07/24/12933159-nbcwsj-poll-negative-campaign-takes-toll-on-candidates-obama-up-six-points
Obama doubles his lead over romney from last month.
Romney leads on economy, but Obama leads on everything else. Candidate unfavorables at all time highs in poll. Seems about right.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2012, 05:43:35 PM »

Lmao!

Mitt is leading when it comes to the economy, but he is so unlikeable that it is rather pointless.

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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2012, 05:48:45 PM »

An NBC poll? That sounds trustworthy!
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krazen1211
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« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2012, 05:52:23 PM »

Hey, let's stack our poll with Democrats to show Obama in the lead! That's never been done before.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2012, 05:52:52 PM »


I suppose the Wall Street Journal is to Liberal for you to.
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2012, 06:04:01 PM »

Hey, let's stack our poll with Democrats to show Obama in the lead! That's never been done before.

46% Democrat, 35% Republican to be exactly. D+11? Seriously?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: July 24, 2012, 06:05:19 PM »

Hey, let's stack our poll with Democrats to show Obama in the lead! That's never been done before.

46% Democrat, 35% Republican to be exactly. D+11? Seriously?

Junk poll, and I'm not being sarcastic. What sample did they use? 1964? 1936?
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2012, 06:18:23 PM »

if romney was leading like this everyone would be jumping up and down lol.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2012, 06:19:35 PM »

if romney was leading like this everyone would be jumping up and down lol.

Not if the poll was R+11, because we'd be deluding ourselves.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #10 on: July 24, 2012, 06:25:29 PM »

Again, just because Romney isn't leading, does not mean the poll is wrong. If Romney is leading on the economy issue, it's hard to see the sample effecting the accuracy of the poll.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #11 on: July 24, 2012, 06:31:45 PM »

I'll bet my bottom dollar RealClearPolitics doesn't use this poll in its averages.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #12 on: July 24, 2012, 06:33:33 PM »

Again, just because Romney isn't leading, does not mean the poll is wrong.

Yeah, that's true. But that's not the reason here. It's that the sample is D+11 so thanks for the call.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #13 on: July 24, 2012, 06:37:14 PM »

Yeah, that's true. But that's not the reason here. It's that the sample is D+11 so thanks for the call.

This is not 2002. The Democrats' margin of support is wider than it used to be.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #14 on: July 24, 2012, 06:38:34 PM »


Yeah, that's true. But that's not the reason here. It's that the sample is D+11 so thanks for the call.

Again, Romney leads on the question of the economy, if the sample was effecting the numbers so much, wouldn't Obama do better on that question? Whatever you want to believe though.
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #15 on: July 24, 2012, 06:39:09 PM »

Mark Murray of NBC News says this about his station's poll:
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #16 on: July 24, 2012, 06:40:51 PM »

Mark Murray of NBC News says this about his station's poll:
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Translation: Republicans lose when people actually VOTE.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #17 on: July 24, 2012, 06:50:41 PM »

Good news!
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #18 on: July 24, 2012, 06:59:42 PM »

The Wall Street Journal is a well-known leftist hack organization, amirite?
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #19 on: July 24, 2012, 07:24:01 PM »
« Edited: July 24, 2012, 07:27:59 PM by Nathan »

The toplines don't seem hugely unreasonable (beyond the generally tendentious nature of polling in this whole cycle) but the partisan breakdown is just bizarre. This might be one of those polls where just being content with comparing it to previous incarnations of itself is the best course of action.
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MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« Reply #20 on: July 24, 2012, 07:25:07 PM »


I'll bet my bottom dollar RealClearPolitics doesn't use this poll in its averages.




 You were saying?
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Supersonic
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« Reply #21 on: July 24, 2012, 07:26:41 PM »

If the sample is D+11, and Romney leads on the economy, that's a bit embarrassing for the President.

Otherwise, rubbish poll. Obama is leading by around 2 points at the moment I'd say.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #22 on: July 24, 2012, 07:30:40 PM »

If the sample is D+11, and Romney leads on the economy, that's a bit embarrassing for the President.

Romney leads on the economy but Obama leads on economic messaging. Apparently. They're thin-slicing the nature of the questions into near-meaninglessness.

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As I said in the other thread about this poll, the best course of action is probably to compare it to previous incarnations of itself, not necessarily to polls from other sources or perceptions of objective reality.
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argentarius
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« Reply #23 on: July 24, 2012, 09:41:20 PM »

This is an awful, awful poll. The sample must be a one in a million.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #24 on: July 24, 2012, 09:48:50 PM »


Yeah, that's true. But that's not the reason here. It's that the sample is D+11 so thanks for the call.

Again, Romney leads on the question of the economy, if the sample was effecting the numbers so much, wouldn't Obama do better on that question? Whatever you want to believe though.


With this economy, no.
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