This may be high for now, but it is the likely result.
Rasmussen uses a "likely voter" screen which well fits an off-year or midterm election. Debbie Stabenow would be fighting for her political life if she faced a 2010-style electorate.
Mitt Romney hasn't lived in Michigan since he was a young adult. He has had no public office while in Michigan.
Barack Obama is a good cultural match for Michigan, a state that usually looks available to Republicans who then waste effort and money on the state before the unions begin their GOTV drive. The state is acting much as it did in 2008.
The Mitchell poll is an outlier. Average PPP and Rasmussen and you get 10% -- which I am about to accept for now.
Doesn't PPP have a decent track record? As in, actual numbers? Both sides have to stop spinning everything so hardcore but all the Republicans who constantly troll here (bar a few that have been here a long time and make sense) all sound like 14 year old members of their junior high school Republican Students Club.
Yes it does. It got the 2008 and 2010 electoral results very well.
Michigan -- fringe of contention for the GOP.
