Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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Posts: 19,472
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« on: July 26, 2012, 11:42:59 AM » |
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I'll predict a tight race with an Obama win by about 1% in the popular vote and under 300 EVs. The economy will slowly get worse. Europe will continue to stumble along. The Mideast will continue to smoulder. And Romney's inability to address his own weaknesses will continue to be a drag on his candidacy.
Looking farther out, I think a Romney loss has a good chance at giving the Democrats another win in 2016. The Tea Party will spend Obama's second term screaming that Romney lost because "he wasn't conservative enough!" leading to either a Tea Party nominee in 2016 or a devastating Republican primary fight.
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