PPP is switching over to "likely voter" polls this weekend

[Tender Branson]

Finally.

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[MorningInAmerica]

Finally.

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Heh. Sounds like their way of saying "don't come complaining to us if our samples sizes are still D+8." I've never understood why any polling organization would want to get down in the partisan trenches the way PPP does. It makes people doubt your polling whether you're credible or not.

[Eraserhead]

Ugh. Too early.

[Sbane]

Finally.

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Heh. Sounds like their way of saying "don't come complaining to us if our samples sizes are still D+8." I've never understood why any polling organization would want to get down in the partisan trenches the way PPP does. It makes people doubt your polling whether you're credible or not.

Why does Rasmussen do it then? To be fair though it does get Scott air time on Fox. Don't know why PPP is doing it, or maybe they do see the election in a different light than the other pollsters. We will see who is right.

[Lief 🗽]

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Sounds like PPP has already basically been doing a likely voter model this whole time.

[pbrower2a]

Here is the literal language in the shift:

(Old)

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...

This would exclude someone who intends to vote but has not yet registered to vote, such as someone very partisan who intends to register to vote. So someone isn't going to register to vote until going to college... if such voters are more R than D that would favor Democrats in results.  


The change is now:

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So who would not vote who voted before?

1. People disillusioned with the political process altogether.

2. People losing the ability to decide to vote -- like those going senile.

3. People who do not expect to live long enough to vote.

4. People who expect to lose their voting rights, as after a felony conviction in some states.

 

[NVGonzalez]

Ugh. Too early.