Georgia SUSA: Romney 50 Obama 42

[old timey villain]

When you take it into context, it really doesn't look too bad for Obama.

I'm not delusional enough to believe that Obama will win the state, but you do see a slow and steady progression towards swing state status. In a 50/50 election, it looks like it would be about 54 Romney 45 Obama. Georgia will be interesting to watch in the next few cycles.

[old timey villain]

Interesting that MO and GA seem to be tracking quite closely. In the end I think GA is a bit more Republican but the trend is evident.

Missouri is trending R while Georgia is trending D and they're crossing paths right about now.

[old timey villain]

The loss of the white vote in the south has been troubling for Democrats, but I'm also in the line of thinking that this has run its course. 23% is really about as low as you can go in GA, considering all the liberal and moderate white voters who live in and around Atlanta. Atlanta is also beginning to attract a lot of scientific, creative and tech industries, which attracts more liberal voters. And much of the decline has come from older white voters who are being replaced.