NY-01: Public Opinion Strategies (R): Altschuler beats Bishop

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Nice. Survey over several days and pick the one day with the best results for the R to release.

POS doesn't play that game. Had the survey had maybe 333 likely voters, maybe the campaign would be doing something suspicious here. But no campaign -- especially a challenger's House campaign -- is going to run a multi-day poll with 2,000 or 3,000 respondents.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

According to the link, Altschuler has paid a lot of money for polling but this is the only one he's released.

$16,000 isn't what I'd consider a "lot of money" for polling. It certainly wouldn't buy you enough polling to seriously be able to pick and choose a favorable result to release. That's maybe two serious polls at best, especially when they usually come with hundreds of pages of crosstabs and associated analysis reports.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

According to the link, Altschuler has paid a lot of money for polling but this is the only one he's released.

$16,000 isn't what I'd consider a "lot of money" for polling.

What about $54,000? $16,000 was the subset for April only.

Stu Rothenberg turned his nose up at Altschuler's POS poll.

http://www.rollcall.com/issues/58_16/Polls-or-Fundamentals-in-New-York-First-District-Race-216656-1.html

Well, they likely didn't run three in the same short time window (waste of money), and it's still statistically meaningful that Altschuler is up in any kind of sample.

There's reason not to trust the numbers. But you can't discount them entirely, because they're not born out of fraud.