Western Massachusetts (Berkshire, Franklin, etc.)

[soniquemd21921]

I'm aware of how Vermont shifted from most Republican to most liberal state in a 30-year period (mostly because of newcomers), but what about Western Massachusetts? Back in the 40's and 50's the small towns of this region were overwhelmingly Republican, but today it's one of the most liberal areas in the US.

Example: In 1948 the small town of Egremont in Berkshire County was 84% Republican, Barry Goldwater nearly won it, and Nixon carried it in 1968 and 1972 by extremely wide margins as well, but in the past two elections it went for Kerry and Obama by 3-1 margins! Franklin County has similar towns like this as well: towns that were 4- and 5-1 Republican in the 40s and 50s but are today 3-1 Democrat.

Did this region see a similar mass influx of out-of-state liberals the way Vermont did? The shift that occured in the Amherst area (Amherst, Leverett, Shutesbury, Pelham, Wendell) is explainable, but what about all those other small towns that were extremely Republican but are now probably the most liberal rural areas in the country?

BTW: I find it astonishing that *Amherst* was a Republican town before the 60's.

[soniquemd21921]

I've also noticed the same trend also happened in southwestern New Hampshire, probably for the same reasons, and the huge Democratic drift in tourist-y areas - e.g. Cape Cod and the two islands, the Stowe-Killington area of Vermont, and the Bar Harbor area (I'm from Bangor, Maine btw).

[soniquemd21921]

How about Franklin County (north of Amherst-Northampton)? After voting for Nixon in 1972 and Reagan in 1984, it swung to the Democrats hard in the last few years (each Democratic candidate's margin has been higher than the previous). I'm guessing much of it is because of the Amherst effect.

[soniquemd21921]

You can also find that Amherst/Hanover-like change in other areas of the country, especially in college counties that were the among the most Republican counties in their state (e.g. Tompkins, NY; Douglas, KS; Washtenaw, MI; Boulder, CO; Benton, OR; Santa Cruz, CA; Athens, OH) but are now among the most liberal (or most liberal) counties in their states.

However, I did notice that Cambridge, New Haven, Northampton, Burlington and Madison voted Democratic back then while most of the other major college towns were staunchly Republican. I'm guessing it had to do with the fact that they all had large Catholic populations.

[soniquemd21921]

There was a time when Northampton was strongly Republican. Calvin Coolidge was Mayor there for a time.

Northampton voted for Hoover in 1932 but switched to FDR in 1936 (Springfield did the same as well). It did vote for Eisenhower twice, so it wasn't all that staunchly Democratic.

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Indeed. Nixon came close to carrying Northampton in 1972, while Amherst went for McGovern by a 2-1 margin (before that, the only Democrats to carry Amherst were LBJ and Humphrey). By 1984, Mondale easily carried Northampton (and received 73% of the vote in Amherst).

What's interesting is that while Massachusetts was moving in a decidedly leftward direction,
Worcester County (and the Westfield-Chicopee-Holyoke area of Hampden) was moving towards the Republicans. There's this swath of towns along the Connecticut-Rhode Island border that voted for FDR by 3-1 margins that Reagan carried (Southbridge, Dudley, Webster, Millville, Blackstone). Didn't Bush and McCain either carry this region or come close to winning it as well?

This is probably similar to what happened in New Hampshire's Merrimack Valley: what was traditionally the most Democratic part of the state now has some of the most Republican areas left in New England (Hillsborough County voted for FDR all four times, while Reagan and Bush Sr. won it by 2-1 margins).

[soniquemd21921]

What about the more recent Democratic trend that happened in southern and coastal Maine, particularly in the Portland area and the Kennebunkport-Wells-York areas? This area was still voting Republican long after the Berkshires and Connecticut Valley had become Democratic.

I'm guessing what happened in southern Maine and Cape Cod were pretty much the same thing.