Will Obama Get >60% in Massachusetts?

[SPC]

Ordinarily, I'd say yes, but being Romney's home state, I'm inclined to believe Obama will only get about 59% there.

[Miles]

He could, but I think he won't.

He probably wins by like 59/39.

[Maxwell]

not unless he wins in a landslide.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Likely not, although it's certainly possible. My expectation would be around 58-40, with a little more room to go higher than lower.

[Ebowed]

I expect something like 60-38, but we'll have another look at the polls closer to the election.

[Napoleon]

No, probably 57 or 58-41.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

The ceiling for Democrats in the presidential races hovers around 61%. With reduced popularity and the former Governor on the opposite ticket, Obama will probably clock in a little less. 57-59 seems like a safe bet.

[Niemeyerite]

I think he will: 60-39.

[Stranger in a strange land]

No. He'll get 58-41.

[Progressive]

I think 58-41 or 59-40 is most likely, if it's still bad for Romney like with the non-release of the tax returns, I say like 60-39 or 61-38.

[timothyinMD]

Massachusetts was weird in 2008.  It was the only non-southern non-ticket state in which McCain got more votes than Bush 04 did.   Also it was one of just 5 states where Obama under performed Kerry's %.   I was wondering if there might be reverse coattails and some Brown voters cross and support Romney.   Of course only time will tell.   It'll be really interesting to see if Romney can win Plymouth or Barnstable counties

[Brittain33]

Massachusetts was weird in 2008.  It was the only non-southern non-ticket state in which McCain got more votes than Bush 04 did.   Also it was one of just 5 states where Obama under performed Kerry's %.   I was wondering if there might be reverse coattails and some Brown voters cross and support Romney.   Of course only time will tell.   It'll be really interesting to see if Romney can win Plymouth or Barnstable counties

Kerry being from Mass. was the relevant factor.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Massachusetts was weird in 2008.  It was the only non-southern non-ticket state in which McCain got more votes than Bush 04 did.   Also it was one of just 5 states where Obama under performed Kerry's %.   I was wondering if there might be reverse coattails and some Brown voters cross and support Romney.   Of course only time will tell.   It'll be really interesting to see if Romney can win Plymouth or Barnstable counties

I doubt there are going to be reverse coattails from someone who's an even chance to win his own race.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Massachusetts was weird in 2008.  It was the only non-southern non-ticket state in which McCain got more votes than Bush 04 did.   Also it was one of just 5 states where Obama under performed Kerry's %.   I was wondering if there might be reverse coattails and some Brown voters cross and support Romney.   Of course only time will tell.   It'll be really interesting to see if Romney can win Plymouth or Barnstable counties

I doubt there are going to be reverse coattails from someone who's an even chance to win his own race.

Why?  Romney is certain to do worse than Brown, and unlike Brown he probably won't be doing any real campaigning there, just whatever leaks into Massachusetts from his campaign in New Hampshire.  If Romney is campaigning in Massachusetts it'll be because he thinks the Presidential race is decided (one way or the other) and he needs to campaign downticket to boost GOP prospects in the Congress.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

About 58%. Romney may take Plymouth.

[Lincoln Republican]

No.  Romney has pockets of support in his home state that will hold Obama to mid to high 50s max.