Colorado Rasmussen: Obama 47 Romney 47
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  Colorado Rasmussen: Obama 47 Romney 47
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Author Topic: Colorado Rasmussen: Obama 47 Romney 47  (Read 2681 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« on: August 07, 2012, 11:21:35 AM »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/
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MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2012, 11:39:22 AM »
« Edited: August 07, 2012, 11:46:35 AM by MorningInAmerica »

From the poll:

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pepper11
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« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2012, 11:45:20 AM »

From the poll:

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Bain Bain Bain is  so bad bad bad
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MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2012, 11:49:39 AM »

The good news is I believe PPP has a Colorado poll coming out today as well.
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MagneticFree
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2012, 11:51:07 AM »

I can't believe how this state is still a tie.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2012, 11:56:37 AM »

I can't believe how this state is still a tie.

It probably isn't. Split the difference between the Razzy poll and the PPP poll out later today (which PPP tweets indicate Obama leads) and you will probably come close to where the race really is.
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Umengus
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2012, 12:01:34 PM »

it would be good to know the party id sample of the poll...
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MaxQue
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« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2012, 12:06:57 PM »

it would be good to know the party id sample of the poll...

It's Rasmussen. You have to pay to access crosstabs.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2012, 12:09:23 PM »

BTW Quinnipiac/NYT is releasing new polls in Colorado, Virginia, and Wisconsin at 10 am tomorrow so we will have another poll Colorado data point.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2012, 01:32:08 PM »

I'm considering to subscribe to Rasmussen's platinum service for the next 3 months, so I can provide to the Forum the internals of their polls.

Or does Morning in America also have the Platinum access ?

...

BTW Quinnipiac/NYT is releasing new polls in Colorado, Virginia, and Wisconsin at 10 am tomorrow so we will have another poll Colorado data point.

Good. Then we'll get a more accurate picture with 3 CO polls.
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MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2012, 01:36:42 PM »

Real funny you mention that, cause I was looking into doing the same a few weeks back, just until the election. Their platinum service was quite a bit expensive for the year, if I remember. I'd sort of given up the idea in the hopes of finding an internet blogger who posted that info. I've yet to find it.

I can't remember who, but someone has posted Rasmussen internals on here before. Was it Krazen?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2012, 01:39:07 PM »

Real funny you mention that, cause I was looking into doing the same a few weeks back, just until the election. Their platinum service was quite a bit expensive for the year, if I remember. I'd sort of given up the idea in the hopes of finding an internet blogger who posted that info. I've yet to find it.

I can't remember who, but someone has posted Rasmussen internals on here before. Was it Krazen?

No, I think it was Rowan, but he's not posting any longer.

But, if you don't have Platinum, where do you get stuff like this from:

From the poll:

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I don't see it in their link ...
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MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2012, 01:40:52 PM »

Ohhhh....got ya: http://argojournal.blogspot.com/

The Argo Journal. An excellent blog that posts excerpts from nearly every pollster out there. Only problem is, for some reason, he doesn't post the partisan ID of Rasmussen polls.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2012, 01:43:04 PM »

Thx.

Your link also says:

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Might be the reason why the poll is a tie.

PS: Yeah, I'll probably sign up to Rasmussen's Platinum Service on Friday. It's only 20$ per month, which for 3 months is just about 45€.
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Rowan
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« Reply #14 on: August 07, 2012, 05:40:11 PM »

If you guys want me to post the crosstabs of any polls just let me know(it would be best to send me a PM since it sends me an e-mail).
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #15 on: August 07, 2012, 05:43:20 PM »

Gender    
Male    50%    
Female    50%    
   
Age    
18-39    38%    
40-64    50%    
65+    12%    
   
Race    
White    83%    
Black    3%    
Other    14%    
   
Party    
Republican    32%    
Democrat    31%    
Other    37%    
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #16 on: August 07, 2012, 06:00:27 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2012, 06:04:50 PM by Rowan »



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mondale84
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P P P
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« Reply #17 on: August 07, 2012, 09:06:00 PM »

Thanks Rowan. I think women and Hispanics are undersampled though.
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #18 on: August 07, 2012, 09:16:57 PM »

The actual CO result might be in the middle of the Rasmussen and PPP polls.
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Person Man
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« Reply #19 on: August 07, 2012, 09:19:44 PM »

The actual CO result might be in the middle of the Rasmussen and PPP polls.

I would say that would be about right. I think Nate has CO at 0 PVI.
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MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« Reply #20 on: August 07, 2012, 10:39:24 PM »

Yep. Rowan is officially awesome. Thanks a lot!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #21 on: August 07, 2012, 11:51:16 PM »

Thx.

It would be great if Rowan could post these 2 tables for all the upcoming Rasmussen polls.

So I don't have to sign up for the Platinum too ...
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Umengus
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« Reply #22 on: August 08, 2012, 09:55:10 AM »

thanx for Ras internals.

So…

The party id of the RAS poll is +- like 2008 (exit poll: I 39, R31, D30)
The party id of the PPP poll undermines I by… 10, compared to 2008… (Ironically, PPP gives R +3 in their poll when RAS gives R +1…)

Second thing to say, amongst I,  RAS gives tied  but PPP gives O By 11… but R by 3 at national level in their last poll (but O by 10 1-2 months ago)…

Third, all other CO polls show a close race. PPP gives always the biggest advantage to dems.

Fourth, WI recall and others results have shown a D biais for PPP
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #23 on: August 08, 2012, 10:32:01 AM »

I'm no lawer and I hate to be a wet blanket but re-posting Rassmusan paid content may involve some copyright issues.
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MagneticFree
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« Reply #24 on: August 08, 2012, 10:39:17 AM »

Copying and pasting paid subscription material is a big no-no.  Only post the basic information.
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