Bush's approval rating is tanking

[Umengus]

The result of Rasmussen poll (the best poll in the last election...) is just... amazing. In some weeks, his job approval has strongly dropped. Difficult to understand...

[Umengus]

The average of the last 8 polls taken just prior to the November election was a Bush approval rating of 49.5%

Bush Approval Rating

The current Average over at RealClearPolitics does not have Rasmussen it it, but if you add Rassussen's 43% into the mix the average of the last 8 polls is 50.0%

49.5% versus 50.0%

Hmmm...

I do not yet see a crushing and compelling trend here...

The folks who backed Bush in November still like him, the folks who hated him in November still hate him.

Not a lot of charge IMHO.

Final note:

Rasmussen's current result is based on ADULTS, while his preelection polls were based on LIKELY VOTERS, so the Rasmussen trendline in not apples to apples either.

During 2004, reports on the President Job Approval were based upon surveys of Likely Voters. Typically, a survey of Likely Voters would report a Job Approval rating 2-3 points higher than a survey of all adults.

RealClearPolitics is a joke, see here:

http://web.archive.org/web/20001110051000/www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-EC_ALWAYS.html

Rasmussen was not better...