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  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Fox News: Obama 49 Romney 40 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox News: Obama 49 Romney 40  (Read 1433 times)
pepper11
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« on: August 09, 2012, 09:54:39 pm »
« edited: August 09, 2012, 09:56:42 pm by pepper11 »

Its pretty clear that these national polls showing Obama +7 to 9 are no longer outlyers as 4 straight surveys have show this - cnn, fox, ap, pew. But its also clear the gains are (almost) solely due to increased dem party ID. No one except the pollsters knows what changed, but something gave them reason to increase tbe Dem Id. However none of the tracking polls ( ras, gallup, kos, yougov) - taken oven the exact same time and presumably among the same sample - show any change. The average of the 4 is a dead heat. One of these groups is wrong, we just dont know which one. It does seem quite bizarre that there iz such a desparity btw the two groups.
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pepper11
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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2012, 11:06:25 pm »

Nate has an excellent (lengthy) post tonight, basically saying its still probably a 2 or 3 point race.
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