Who do you think will win Wisconsin?

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Even if Ryan brings a decent home state advantage, I think Obama will be sleeping soundly tonight.

not necessarily.  I still don't get why people are thinking obama is a shoo in for reelection.

Nobody (except maybe Bandit and pBrower, but they don't count) is really considering the election a shoo in for Obama. However, it isn't inaccurate to say that Obama is favored, based on the historical precedent of the incumbent advantage, and his aggregate lead in national polls and in the swing states.