Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012 (user search)
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Author Topic: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012  (Read 25424 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: August 12, 2012, 12:19:56 PM »
I don't see how HCR wins. If Chavez kicks the bucket before October then the military and Chavez's family will step up and anoint a replacement who gets a sympathy bonus. Plus in the near-impossible event that HCR wins, only Chavez can enforce that outcome. No one else.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2012, 11:23:10 AM »
Chavez, unfortunately, wins by 10-15 IMO.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2012, 10:31:55 PM »
Chavez will win, unfortunately.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2012, 05:08:23 PM »
Capriles is walking the fine ideological line pretty well, I think.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2012, 07:26:09 PM »
Chavez wins unless he doesn't, so I'll guess a single-digit victory for now.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2012, 11:15:13 AM »
Places to watch.

http://transitions.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/10/05/in_venezuela_everythings_in_play
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2012, 02:50:00 PM »
According to the NYT's Twitter feed, turnout is as high as 80%.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2012, 03:30:40 PM »
No.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2012, 03:46:45 PM »
Polling stations will be open till everyone who's in line has voted. Which probably means delays.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2012, 04:15:52 PM »
Polls close at 11 local time- 10:30 Eastern. That's if they close on time, which I doubt.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2012, 04:19:13 PM »
Apparently there are no legal provisions for a recount. Oh dear.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2012, 05:53:07 PM »
Most stations closed but quite a few still open. Tabulation won't start till they all close, probably a few hours.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: October 07, 2012, 07:46:13 PM »
Exit polls are all over the place. Both men are calling for patience as voting is still going on.

Here's the NYT Twitter feed if anyone's interested.

https://twitter.com/i/#!/nytimesworld/venezuela-elections
 
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #13 on: October 07, 2012, 08:58:06 PM »
1st results could be announced by 10:30?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #14 on: October 07, 2012, 09:16:49 PM »
Some reports that Chavez won narrowly... nothing official.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2012, 09:20:58 PM »
Looks like Chavez won- his supporters are setting off fireworks and his ministers are sending out celebratory tweets. Still nothing official.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2012, 09:34:37 PM »
So Julio was probably right- 54-46 or thereabouts.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2012, 09:38:08 PM »
54-44 to be precise. Damn. Better luck next time.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2012, 09:46:48 PM »
In my head, never really expected Chavez to lose, the advantages of incumbency are just too strong. Thought the margin would be a bit smaller though. On the bright side the opposition has a president-in-waiting.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #19 on: October 07, 2012, 10:03:35 PM »
I hope the opposition is heartened by the gains instead of getting demoralized and throwing in the towel.
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