Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012 (user search)
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Author Topic: Venezuelan Presidential Election 2012  (Read 25419 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: October 08, 2012, 04:28:16 AM »

I'm thinking Freedom House's 5 score for political right's is too harsh in light of there being a 54-44 election.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2012, 12:39:33 AM »

What's the difference between swing and trend maps ?

Trend is swing relative to the national swing.

Or more explicitly put: Swing compares how a region voted now to how it voted 6 years ago.

Trend compares the swing in a region to the national average swing. (If a region swung 5% away from Chavez, while the Nation as a whole swung 10% away from him, that'd mean the region would be trending towards Chavez)

With trend you have the silliness where Democrat gets 90% in DC in a close election. Next Democrat gets 95% in DC, and wins by 20 points nationwide. Oh noes, DC trended away from the Democrats.
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