How would this hypothetical state vote?

[NY Jew]

Similar type of thread to how would this person vote, but with a state. So to begin....

Mussingee (random name)

Population: 6,709,565
Urban Population: 45%
Major Cities: 2

Demographics:
White: 70%
Black: 24%
Hispanic: 4%
Asian: 1%

Baptist: 29%
Catholic: 24%
Methodist: 11%
Episcopalian: 4%
Other Christian: 14%
Jewish: 3%
No Religion: 9%

Economy
Logging, Mining, Tobacco

Politics
Senate: 1D, 1R
House: 55% R, 45% D
Governor: R

way to little info
Catholics are from what country?
how much of a overlap is there between Black and Baptists?
how gerrymandered is the state in the house?
voting age population or total?
Hispanics here legally?
size of major cities?

ext.

[NY Jew]

hookland


Population: 2,301,000
Urban: 100%
Major Cities: 1
Smaller Cities: 0

White (non-Hipsanic): 59%
Black: 3%
Hispanic: 15%
Asian: 22%
Other: 1%

Catholic: 45%
Jewish 30%
Other/Not religious: 15%
Protestant: 10%


Educational level: High school (85%), college (33%)

Economy: services, financial services

Median Income: $57,000

[NY Jew]

Safe D, given most of the whites appear to be Jews.

I based those numbers on an extremely gerrymandered area only in NYC (every single part of this "state" is connected by either land or water) that voted for McCain by 2 votes (thanks in a large part to that Jewish vote)

the area covers areas in all 5 boroughs.

[NY Jew]

Well, Jews are hardly a homogenous voting bloc. Russian Jews and Orthodox Jews (who I assume pushed McCain over the top) vote very differently from Jews whose families came over in the 1880's.

1. my numbers were assuming that the area in question seceded from NY state.  In actuality this state would be a solid conservative Democratic seat (think Manny Celler) and could go Republican when they go left Like Obama, Weprin, Fidler ext.  The area is demographically trending democrat (may eventually reveres itself due to Orthodox birth rates) but the people are trending Republican

2. there are quite a few Orthodox Jews who's families (at least part of it) came over in the 1880's.   On my father side part of my family might have been here since the 1880's.  My maternal Grandmother was born on the Lower East Side in the teens which is very similar to the avg American Jew Orthodox, or atheist.  The only difference was she stayed Orthodox and they abandoned Judaism.