2016 PPP N.H. poll - Clinton, Christie on top.

[Mr. Morden]

Dems

Clinton 55%
Biden 9%
Warren 8%
Cuomo 6%
Patrick 3%
O'Malley 1%
Scweitzer 0%
Warner 0%

If Clinton doesn't run:

Biden 19%
Warren 17%
Cuomo 15%
Patrick 7%
O'Malley 3%
Scweitzer 1%
Warner 1%

If neither Biden nor Clinton runs:

Cuomo 23%
Warren 18%
Patrick 12%
O'Malley 2%
Warner 2%
Schweitzer 1%

GOP

Christie 24%
J. Bush 15%
Huckabee 12%
Rubio 12%
Rand Paul 10%
Ryan 8%
Palin 7%
Santorum 7%
Walker 3%

Anemic showing for sitting VP Biden, given how much more well known he is than the other non-Clinton candidates.  I don't think he'd actually end up doing that well if he does run.

The poll was conducted Aug. 9-12, so probably about half the interviews were done after the Ryan announcement.  I'm actually surprised he didn't do better here, but I guess if he'd gotten a huge bounce, then his average for the four days woulud have been better than 8%.

[Mr. Morden]

Favorability for each potential candidate among members of their own party:

Clinton 91 / 6% for +85%
Biden 73 / 14% for +59%
Warren 56 / 12% for +44%
Patrick 53 / 15% for +38%
Cuomo 39 / 17% for +22%
Warner 12 / 9% for +3%
O'Malley 7 / 10% for -3%
Scwheitzer 5 / 8% for -3%

Christie 74 / 11% for +63%
Rubio 68 / 8% for +60%
Bush 70 / 11% for +59%
Ryan 64 / 11% for +53%
Huckabee 65 / 21% for +44%
Walker 48 / 10% for +38%
Palin 60 / 30% for +30%
Rand Paul 53 / 27% for +26%
Santorum 52 / 29% for +23%

So yeah, Clinton's 91/6 rating is unbelievably good.  In the primary matchup, she's at 58% among women and 51% among men.  Also note that Patrick and Warren both have a fair amount of name recognition in NH, unlike in Iowa.

On the GOP side, who wins among....
Tea Party members: Christie
non-Tea Party members: Christie
not sure if Tea Party members: Huckabee
Evangelicals: Bush
non-Evangelicals: Christie
moderate: Christie
somewhat conservative: Christie
very conservative: Christie/Huckabee tie

[Mr. Morden]

Didn't they just recently have a 2016 poll showing a Huckabee-Santorum tie in Iowa?

Yes, but with Christie just one point behind first place as well.  Here's that Iowa poll:

Huckabee 17%
Santorum 17%
Christie 16%
Rand Paul 11%
Rubio 10%
J. Bush 8%
Ryan 6%
Palin 4%
Walker 4%

[Mr. Morden]

More evidence that 2016 Democratic nomination is Hillary's if she wants it.

Just like the 2008 nomination was?

And don't forget 2004!  Hillary Clinton: Perpetual President of the Future.

But seriously, she's in a far stronger position for 2016 than she was for 2008.  I could type up all the reasons why again, but I'll just link to what I previously wrote on this topic:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=152668.msg3277351#msg3277351