NV-GHY/DSCC: Internal Democratic poll has Obama ahead by 5 (user search)
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  NV-GHY/DSCC: Internal Democratic poll has Obama ahead by 5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-GHY/DSCC: Internal Democratic poll has Obama ahead by 5  (Read 3091 times)
Holmes
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Posts: 13,719
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Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: August 17, 2012, 04:43:32 PM »

The fact that Dems underpoll in Nevada should cancel out the fact that it's a partisan Dem poll, IMO.

Just wondering, why do dems tend to under poll?

Elderly latino voters who speak a small amount of English won't be telling people on the phone who they're voting for.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,719
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2012, 05:05:49 PM »

The fact that Dems underpoll in Nevada should cancel out the fact that it's a partisan Dem poll, IMO.

Just wondering, why do dems tend to under poll?

Elderly latino voters who speak a small amount of English won't be telling people on the phone who they're voting for.

Just curious. Any evidence (cites, etc) that Democrats "underpoll" in Nevada? Turnout in Nevada was R+4 in 2004, and as Umengus pointed out, D+8 in 2008. So where are we coming up with this "underpoll" thing (of course, besides your own personal speculation)?

/shrug. I know Reid overperforming the polls in 2010 against Angle fueled it, as he had a much better ground game than her. And I'm sure Obama's gonna have a much better ground game than Romney will in Nevada too, so.
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