20/20 Insight, LLC: Romney barely ahead in GA (user search)
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  20/20 Insight, LLC: Romney barely ahead in GA (search mode)
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Author Topic: 20/20 Insight, LLC: Romney barely ahead in GA  (Read 1078 times)
old timey villain
cope1989
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Posts: 1,741


« on: August 21, 2012, 03:18:05 PM »

A lot of very bizarre polls out lately. Most of what we've seen of Georgia shows Mitt leading by 7-9 points, which seems more reasonable. This poll looks like junk, but I think Georgia might be a little closer than people think.

Anybody who has spent time here can see that the minority population is surging. We'll probably be a majority/minority state by 2020. The Republicans had a lot of success in converting conservative white democrats but I think they've hit their limit. They have about 75% of white voters now, but the base has stagnated while the Democrat's base is continually growing through migration and natural increase.

Another factor? The HOPE Scholarship. This program has made college more affordable for thousands of Georgia students. And the big schools in Georgia, like science heavy Georgia Tech and hipster meets fratty UGA do a great job converting young Republicans into moderates or liberals.
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old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,741


« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2012, 04:14:38 PM »

Georgia goes D before South Carolina and definitely before Tennessee.

The last map seems legit.
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