MA-PPP: Brown up 5
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Author Topic: MA-PPP: Brown up 5  (Read 1018 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: August 21, 2012, 01:31:58 PM »
« edited: August 21, 2012, 01:45:54 PM by Romney/Ryan 2012! »

49-44. His approvals are 53/39 and Warren's 46/43. This is PPP's first LV poll in MA.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MA_0821121.pdf



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Talleyrand
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2012, 01:36:36 PM »
« Edited: August 21, 2012, 01:40:39 PM by Talleyrand »

Pretty good poll for him. The first one to show him leading outside the MOE in a while, right? I think he's turning out to be the Jon Tester of Massachusetts, a surprisingly resilient, charismatic, and popular maverick in a state that favors the other party, while having an overrated challenger.

Also he's leading 49-44, not 44-39. Smiley
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2012, 01:45:23 PM »

First time since Warren got into the race a year ago. You're right about Warren being overrated, not that the homegrown competition was much better. Rest assured they'll squeeze JPK 3 like a lemon in 2018.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2012, 01:49:38 PM »

Dominating.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2012, 01:50:53 PM »

First time since Warren got into the race a year ago. You're right about Warren being overrated, not that the homegrown competition was much better. Rest assured they'll squeeze JPK 3 like a lemon in 2018.
I think she's probably the best they could get out of the realistic candidates.

If Brown wins, JPK III has a good chance of being the nominee in 2018. Coakley is refusing to rule out another run for the senate too. Because of her rehabilitated political image back home (although not in the beltway), I think she may be a good candidate in 2014 or 2018.

In a good position, but not quite dominating yet.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2012, 02:06:45 PM »

No domination in MA/pres year. 2010 margin or thereabouts will be his max.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2012, 02:10:26 PM »

Smiley
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Supersonic
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2012, 02:58:58 PM »

I was reading the old election thread when Brown won in 2010, and there were quite a few "oh well, we'll win it back in two years" comments. I think those posters might need to re-assess that prediction. Tongue

On another note, seeing the liberal equivalent of Paul Ryan fail in Massachusetts would simply be delightful.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2012, 03:08:37 PM »

It's still not safe for him, otherwise he wouldn't have been the first to jump on the bandwagon to throw Todd Akin under the bus, he knows this is not a cakewalk.  It comes down to the partisans, if Warren can get them not to split their ticket, she wins. I wish she would start running ads linking him to Mitch McConnell, they vote the same around 76% of the tim.
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #9 on: August 21, 2012, 03:17:36 PM »

As long as he holds his coalition of Reagan Democrats together, I see no reason he won't win by three points or so in November. Great news!
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2012, 06:40:39 PM »

I think Warren will finally win this thing. With Ryan selection, Akin comments and dems turning out to vote for Obama... It'll be very difficult for Scott Brown to win, even by a point or two.
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morgieb
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« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2012, 06:50:48 PM »

I think it's better for Brown than showing it tied all the time, but would like another poll before making any judgements such as Lean R or whatever.

Massachusetts is a very blue and liberal state so any Dem starts with a major advantage here IMO.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #12 on: August 21, 2012, 11:15:28 PM »

Warren seems pretty far out there. While she's still probably closer to the average Massachusetts voter, Brown needs to exploit her as being out of touch. And if I remember right, she practically reiterated Obama's "you didn't build it" statement. Brown's been putting out some nice advertisements here as well.

I give Brown the slight edge, though it will stay close. This is encouraging, though.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #13 on: August 21, 2012, 11:29:21 PM »

Read the crosstabs, Brown's closer to the median MA voter. As for "no one in this country got rich on their own", Obama ripped off Warren. Not vice-versa.

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krazen1211
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« Reply #14 on: August 22, 2012, 07:13:19 AM »



Rofl. Trying too hard.
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Nathan
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« Reply #15 on: August 22, 2012, 07:26:05 AM »


I personally find this endearing, but only because it reminds me a bit of my aunt's demeanor. I'd like to see Elizabeth Warren in the Senate, but I wouldn't necessarily want to see my aunt there.
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Kevin
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« Reply #16 on: August 22, 2012, 07:59:34 PM »

I think Warren will finally win this thing. With Ryan selection, Akin comments and dems turning out to vote for Obama... It'll be very difficult for Scott Brown to win, even by a point or two.

Lol keep telling yourself that.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #17 on: August 22, 2012, 08:20:46 PM »


...I strangely now respect her more than ever before.
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Vosem
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« Reply #18 on: August 22, 2012, 08:25:36 PM »

I always thought Brown was a much, much better quality candidate than Warren, and it shows.
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