question about open, safe seats
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 05:12:09 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  question about open, safe seats
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: question about open, safe seats  (Read 413 times)
freepcrusher
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,832
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 21, 2012, 10:40:17 PM »

if you are a power broker in that area (state or county party or whatever) do you try running a relatively young candidate in hopes that he can stay there for 30 or so years and get a committee chairmanship and bring pork back home?

Because the age you first enter politics is probably the biggest indicator of whether or not you become a committee chairman and if you have the power to decide who becomes the anointed successor (being a safe district and all) wouldn't you want to try to bring a young person in and have him become a chairman?

IMO, the main reason why Pat Leahy or Max Baucus are committee chairman had more to do with their age when they got first elected more than anything else. That's not to say they aren't talented politicians (when they clearly are) but it gave them more time to climb the seniority ladder while still being under the age of 75.
Logged
Zioneer
PioneerProgress
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,451
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2012, 10:59:46 PM »

Because young candidates don't always have enough experience and skill to be considered serious contenders in the first place. You don't want to lose an easy seat because your young protege didn't prove up to the task of getting elected, after all.
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2012, 11:09:01 PM »

Dems probably. Given how anti-establishment/incumbency the GOP is these days (a fair few candidates or incumbents are self-limiting to 2 terms) looks somewhat unlikely. Everything else being equal I prefer a young candidate if they're qualified and promising.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2012, 11:11:50 PM »

I prefer the younger candidate usually in safe GOP seats, while I tend to prefer the most electable in states not solidly in the GOP column.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,076
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2012, 10:52:24 AM »

Between self financed candidates, and focused interest groups like public employee unions, the Evangelical network, and now mega PACS and the like, the party leadership I think has largely in most places has lost most of its influence as to who gets nominated. So the best route is to make about 10 million bucks doing something, and then being willing to spend a chunk of that. It's a jungle out there.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 11 queries.