New Quinnipiac polls of FL, OH & WI to be released @ 7am today

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

http://www.abcactionnews.com/dpp/news/political/quinnipiac-university-cbs-news-new-york-times-poll-obama-has-small-lead-in-key-swing-states

So they like Ryan, but not his plan, which makes sense.  What interest would seniors and working class voters have in gutting Medicare?  Obamacare is hardly popular; but that doesn't mean that voters aren't for a working healthcare system, which at the very least Obama and the Democrats are perceived to be working towards.  

Nonetheless, I"m surprised to see Obama up 6 in any poll of Ohio and would like to see some internals.  

NOTE: this is a LIKELY voter survey.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'd like to point out that all these results but Ohio represent an IMPROVEMENT for Romney from Quinnipiac's last results. Remember last months Q polls of OH, FL, and WI and how well Obama did in them?

WI LAST MONTH
Obama 51%
Romney 45%
So 49-47% this month represents a fair improvement

FL LAST MONTH
Obama 51%
Romney 45%
So 49-46% this month represents a fair improvement

OH Last Month
Obama - 50%
Romney 44%
So Ohio has seen no change since last month.


Party ID on that Wisconsin Poll is D+4. 2008 exit poll data indicated turnout in WI was D+6 that year. 2012 Recall turnout was R+1. PPP's recent WI poll sample was R+2.

Party ID on that Florida poll is utterly bizarre. It's D+6, which is even more DEM friendly than 2008 turnout (which was D+3).

Party ID on that Ohio poll is D+8. It was D+8 in 2008.


Also, Guardian poll analyzer Harry Enten notes this:

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At least Yahoo notices the polling improvement for Romney. Here's the headline: Obama holds lead in Ohio, but slips in Florida and Wisconsin, poll shows
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/obama-holds-lead-ohio-slips-florida-wisconsin-poll-104836458.html?_esi=1

I see nothing truly terrible about the internals.  Florida is probably within 1-2 pts, not a 3 pt lead for Obama.  Wisconsin is going thru it's Ryan bounce.  As for identical registration advantage for this poll and 2008 in Ohio... I can buy it in Ohio more so than other states, Romney just does not seem to have traction there.