MO-Pres, Mason-Dixon: Romney up 7, at 50%

[krazen1211]

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/ec51f6bb-61e1-5943-aea2-fff264df2cb8.html

Romney 50
Obama 43




Finally the real results.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

We must have a lot of ticket splitters here because the last 2 polls have had McCaskill up here.
McCaskill is up 50-41 in a poll released about an hour or so ago.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=158131.msg3398516;boardseen#new

[Minnesota Mike]

We must have a lot of ticket splitters here because the last 2 polls have had McCaskill up here.
McCaskill is up 50-41 in a poll released about an hour or so ago.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=158131.msg3398516;boardseen#new

Same Poll.

FWIW both Prez and Senate numbers look about right to me.

[Tender Branson]

Romney by 3-7 looks accurate. MO won't vote for Obama if it didn't in 2008 already.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Not a Presidential bellwether any more.

[NVGonzalez]

If Obama were to win MO he would be flirting with 400 EV's. Unlikely so I guess Romney would be up 5-7 here.

[pa2011]

Shows you how bad and unreliable Rasmussen is, considering he had his Missouri poll yesterday that had Obama up a point. This is far more believable and likely accurate. Not sure why people even post Rasmussen polls or why he's allowed in so many aggregate poll of polls. This should prove they are not worth taking seriously or getting worked up over.

[ZuWo]

Shows you how bad and unreliable Rasmussen is, considering he had his Missouri poll yesterday that had Obama up a point. This is far more believable and likely accurate. Not sure why people even post Rasmussen polls or why he's allowed in so many aggregate poll of polls. This should prove they are not worth taking seriously or getting worked up over.

The same can be said about PPP; their methodologically problematic one-day poll which showed Akin leading McCaskill by 1 is quite different from what the other post-rape-comment polls revealed so if Rasmussen should not be taken seriously we can as well ignore PPP.

[J. J.]

Pretty much what I expected.  Good pollster.

[pa2011]

Shows you how bad and unreliable Rasmussen is, considering he had his Missouri poll yesterday that had Obama up a point. This is far more believable and likely accurate. Not sure why people even post Rasmussen polls or why he's allowed in so many aggregate poll of polls. This should prove they are not worth taking seriously or getting worked up over.

The same can be said about PPP; their methodologically problematic one-day poll which showed Akin leading McCaskill by 1 is quite different from what the other post-rape-comment polls revealed so if Rasmussen should not be taken seriously we can as well ignore PPP.

Well, I think the PPP poll that has Akin +1 was more due to timing, not necessarily methology or it cooking the books, so to speak. That PPP poll was conducted Monday, not even 24 hours after the Akin story aired. While it may be hard for us to believe, sometimes it takes a few days for news to seep into the masses -- especially news that breaks on a Sunday afternoon on the last weekend before many schools start (school shopping/vacation).  PPP probably got a lot of people who hadn't even heard, or only vaguely, of the controversy. Backing up this point, the PPP poll that day also found Romney with solid lead over Obama.

[RJ]

If Obama were to win MO he would be flirting with 400 EV's. Unlikely so I guess Romney would be up 5-7 here.

I say more like 340-350 EV's. I think MO is more likely to go Obama than Indiana or possibly even North Carolina.

I also say that Obama won't lose the state by more than about 6%.

[The Mikado]

Yeah, Romney probably wins MO by 4-6%.  I could easily see MO as something like Romney 52%, Obama 47%.