Ohio-Pres: Columbus Dispatch: Tied at 45
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 06:49:17 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Ohio-Pres: Columbus Dispatch: Tied at 45
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Ohio-Pres: Columbus Dispatch: Tied at 45  (Read 3753 times)
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 26, 2012, 09:09:04 AM »

http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2012/08/26/tight-races-put-undecided-voters-in-control.html

Romney 45
Obama 45


Dispatch is an excellent pollster. Splendid news!
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 26, 2012, 09:22:37 AM »

Very similar to their August 2008 poll:

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008/pollsa.php?action=indpoll&id=3920080821097
Logged
Supersonic
SupersonicVenue
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,162
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 26, 2012, 09:25:31 AM »

Good news.
Logged
ZuWo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,873
Switzerland


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 26, 2012, 09:25:48 AM »


Well, an occasional tie with Obama when most polls show Obama with the lead isn't such splendid news for Romney. On the other hand, the poll shows that everything is still possible in Ohio and that's at least partly encouraging for Romney.
Logged
Umengus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
Belgium


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 26, 2012, 09:46:36 AM »
« Edited: August 26, 2012, 09:48:40 AM by Umengus »


Well, an occasional tie with Obama when most polls show Obama with the lead isn't such splendid news for Romney. On the other hand, the poll shows that everything is still possible in Ohio and that's at least partly encouraging for Romney.

last ohio polls:

Quin: O +6 (outlier considering the party id sample)

PPP= O +3
univ of cin.: O +3
Ras: tie
Purple S: R+2

An now Dispatch: R by 0,2

Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,803
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 26, 2012, 10:49:32 AM »


Well, an occasional tie with Obama when most polls show Obama with the lead isn't such splendid news for Romney. On the other hand, the poll shows that everything is still possible in Ohio and that's at least partly encouraging for Romney.

last ohio polls:

Quin: O +6 (outlier considering the party id sample)

PPP= O +3
univ of cin.: O +3
Ras: tie
Purple S: R+2

An now Dispatch: R by 0,2



Still, more polls show Obama leading.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,859
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 26, 2012, 11:00:10 AM »

Interactive polls are worthless.
Logged
Umengus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
Belgium


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2012, 11:09:42 AM »


Well, an occasional tie with Obama when most polls show Obama with the lead isn't such splendid news for Romney. On the other hand, the poll shows that everything is still possible in Ohio and that's at least partly encouraging for Romney.

last ohio polls:

Quin: O +6 (outlier considering the party id sample)

PPP= O +3
univ of cin.: O +3
Ras: tie
Purple S: R+2

An now Dispatch: R by 0,2



Still, more polls show Obama leading.

yes but some polls show now a Romney lead too. it was not the case 2 weeks ago...
Logged
opebo
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2012, 11:18:10 AM »

Yes the momentum is clearly in Romney/Ryan's favor at the moment.
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,208
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 26, 2012, 11:56:24 AM »

I think this is an outlier. They have the Senate Poll Results tied at 44-44 each. The only person to even have that race close is Rasmussen, and they have a lot of BS Polls (See Missouri).
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,772


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 26, 2012, 12:06:02 PM »

Yes the momentum is clearly in Romney/Ryan's favor at the moment.

As well it should be: this is their week, after all.  If the momentum wasn't for Romney at this point we'd know he was a dead man walking.

Logged
opebo
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 26, 2012, 12:12:32 PM »

Yes the momentum is clearly in Romney/Ryan's favor at the moment.

As well it should be: this is their week, after all.  If the momentum wasn't for Romney at this point we'd know he was a dead man walking.

Perhaps.. I admire your optimism.  It is interesting though that the momentum shift seems to be precisely where he needs it, excepting perhaps New Hampshire.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 26, 2012, 01:19:37 PM »


Obviously not given how they have used it to success. Polls by mail merely have a longer turnaround than those by phone.
Logged
pepper11
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 26, 2012, 01:26:14 PM »

Excellent work Romney Ryan. Please keep it up.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 26, 2012, 01:29:53 PM »

Columbus Dispatch Ohio polls are really good historically, just like the Univ. of Cincinnati poll.

The only race they blew was the 2006 Senate & Gov. race, where they predicted a 24-point Brown win, when he won by "only" 12. And they said Strickland by 36 when he won by "only" 24.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 26, 2012, 01:39:52 PM »

A blast from the past:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Sbane
sbane
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,308


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 26, 2012, 02:59:55 PM »

I really think Ohio will be at the national average this year, so this poll sounds about right. Any Democrats thinking Ohio is a cakewalk is engaging in wishful thinking.
Logged
mondale84
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -3.30

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 26, 2012, 03:35:35 PM »

LOL at people creaming themselves over one questionable poll.
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,636
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 26, 2012, 04:21:00 PM »

LOL at people creaming themselves over one questionable poll.
This is Atlas, mate. That's been happening for the past eight years lol.
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,772


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 26, 2012, 06:42:26 PM »

Yes the momentum is clearly in Romney/Ryan's favor at the moment.

As well it should be: this is their week, after all.  If the momentum wasn't for Romney at this point we'd know he was a dead man walking.

Perhaps.. I admire your optimism.  It is interesting though that the momentum shift seems to be precisely where he needs it, excepting perhaps New Hampshire.

Republicans always surge the week of the GOP convention, which starts tomorrow.  Romney will likely be ahead in most of the key states this time next week.  It's factored into my guesses.

Democratic convention will balance it out.
Logged
NVGonzalez
antwnzrr
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,687
Mexico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 26, 2012, 06:47:18 PM »

A mail in survey? Yeah at least add an asterisk on it.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 26, 2012, 08:48:13 PM »

I really wouldn't pay attention to any polling anywhere until about September 17.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 27, 2012, 12:21:17 AM »

A mail in survey? Yeah at least add an asterisk on it.

Why ? It's how the absentee balloting works too. And the Dispatch poll has been good most of the time.
Logged
MaxQue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,625
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 27, 2012, 12:24:56 AM »

A mail in survey? Yeah at least add an asterisk on it.

Why ? It's how the absentee balloting works too. And the Dispatch poll has been good most of the time.

Who is crazy enough to pay a stamp to answer a poll?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 27, 2012, 12:25:52 AM »

A mail in survey? Yeah at least add an asterisk on it.

Why ? It's how the absentee balloting works too. And the Dispatch poll has been good most of the time.

Who is crazy enough to pay a stamp to answer a poll?

Maybe the Dispatch pays the stamp ?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.057 seconds with 13 queries.