Colorado PPP: Obama 49 Romney 46

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Obama leads by 3 in PPPs latest post convention Colorado. Last one had him up 49-43. Most likely the switch to likely voters has to do with some of the gap closing.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/obama-up-by-3-in-colorado.html
Crosstabs
The GOP base has consolidated behind Mitt, going from 85-10 to 89-8.
Obama leads 48-41 among indies, consistent with past polling.
Obama up 52-44 with women, 55-38 with non-white voters, and 53-40 with voters under 45.
Romney up 49-46 with men, 49-47 with white voters, and 51-46 with voters over 45.
Obama net -1 Job approval 48-49.
Gary Johnson takes slightly more from Obama than Romney. 46-44-5.

[Likely Voter]

PPP switched to LV in their August poll which had Obama up 6.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_080712.pdf


In PPP's NC and CO polls, they show a 3 point gain for Romney since pre-Ryan. They tweeted that their MI poll will also show a narrowing, I bet that too is 3 points...which sounds about right for Ryan+RNC bounce. On the other hand, PPP"s FL poll didnt show any movement


RE: Gary Johnson
That is interesting. CO will have a legalize pot initiative on the ballot which should help bring in young voters which should help Obama, but maybe Gary will end up siphoning some of them off.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

PPP switched to LV in their August poll which had Obama up 6.

Oh it did? Well then Colorado is earning its Battleground status.

[Devils30]

If Obama is up 0-2 nationally, a 3 point lead in Colorado makes perfect sense.
2008 he won by 7.3 overall and slightly under 9 in CO.

[Niemeyerite]

Not bad, considering that this poll is supposed to include Romney bounce.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Only up 55-38 with non-white voters?  Hmmm....

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Only up 55-38 with non-white voters?  Hmmm....

Maybe its because of the lack of AA voters?

[Person Man]

I'd go with that....Colorado is still D+1 or Even. From here on out, if Romney is elected, Colorado will probably be more Democrat than it was in 2008 and if Obama wins, Colorado will probably go back to probably where it was in 2004.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Only up 55-38 with non-white voters?  Hmmm....

Maybe its because of the lack of AA voters?

Still, you think that hispanics would be at least 60% Obama, especially given the recent developments over the last few years. 

[5280]

I'd go with that....Colorado is still D+1 or Even. From here on out, if Romney is elected, Colorado will probably be more Democrat than it was in 2008 and if Obama wins, Colorado will probably go back to probably where it was in 2004.

If Romney wins, he takes CO.  If Obama wins, he takes CO. 

[Person Man]

I'd go with that....Colorado is still D+1 or Even. From here on out, if Romney is elected, Colorado will probably be more Democrat than it was in 2008 and if Obama wins, Colorado will probably go back to probably where it was in 2004.

If Romney wins, he takes CO.  If Obama wins, he takes CO. 

I mean, for 2016... I totally agree with you on 2012.