Paul, Santorum, Gingrich, and Huntsman: Mitt Romney's downfall

[Maxwell]

Front-runner Demint!



"Wow, this is shocking so far. We've only had a couple of weeks, and I'm already taking the former Vice President down to third place. This has been quite an astounding couple of weeks for me."

National Poll:
Jim Demint: 22%
Paul Ryan: 16%
Rand Paul: 14%
Jeff Flake: 9%
Brian Sandoval: 8%
Rob McKenna: 6%
Herman Cain: 6%
Bob Corker: 4%
Mitch McConnell: 1%
Undecided: 14%

Iowa Polls:
Jim Demint: 32%
Jeff Flake: 17%
Paul Ryan: 11%
Rand Paul: 11%
Herman Cain: 7%
Brian Sandoval: 3%
Bob Corker: 3%
Rob McKenna: 3%
Mitch McConnell: ~0%
Undecided: 13%

New Hampshire:
Rand Paul: 20%
Brian Sandoval: 17%
Rob McKenna: 15%
Jim Demint: 13%
Paul Ryan: 11%
Jeff Flake: 3%
Bob Corker: 2%
Herman Cain: 2%
Mitch McConnell: 1%
Undecided: 16%

Now this means...



"Now of course I like Jim Demint. We were friends back when I was in the Senate. But people tend to think I'm an extremist, and I think HE'S too far to the right for my tastes: He wants to go BACK and try to fix problems in the Middle East. We're done with that, let's focus on our home instead of looking abroad."



"Now, if you're talking about conservative, you're definitely talking about Jim Demint. What are other things related to Jim Demint? Well, age, he turns 70 the year he gets inaguarted, he's party affiliated, meaning he will just do what the party tells him, instead of informing the ideas of the party like Ronald Reagan di. Now I wouldn't say I'm young, but I'm not govern-mentally defined as being able to retire, and I tell it how it is, even if my party doesn't like me saying it that way."



"Demint doesn't have the right experience to become President. I have worked in the private sector, the executive branch, and the legislative branch of the greatest Government the world has ever known. I am qualified to continue this administrations accomplishments and then some. He was just a three term congressman and a two-term Senator, He's fine, but he isn't nearly read to become the President of the United States."

[Maxwell]

This is awesome.  Just out of curiosity, was Lingle elected in 2012?  What's she up to?

Lingle lost in 2012, due to the fact Hawaii, inspite of electing her as the governor over Hirono, decided not to send her to Washington.

[Maxwell]

As the Warren Campaign continues crumbles, Peter Shumlin hops in to take their place.



National Polls:
Cory Booker: 21%
Peter Shumin: 18%
Amy Klobuchar: 13%
Mark Begich: 13%
Gavin Newsom: 7%
Charlie Crist: 5%
Elizabeth Warren: 4%
Mark Udall: 3%
Mazie Hirono: 2%
Steny Hoyer: 1%
Undecided: 13%

Iowa:
Cory Booker: 24%
Mark Begich: 20%
Peter Shumlin: 12%
Amy Klobuchar: 10%
Mark Udall: 6%
Elizabeth Warren: 6%
Gavin Newsom: 4%
Charlie Crist: 3%
Mazie Hirono: 3%
Steny Hoyer: 1%
Undecided: 11%

New Hampshire:
Peter Shumlin: 30%
Cory Booker: 18%
Amy Klobuchar: 10%
Elizabeth Warren: 10%
Mark Begich: 10%
Mazie Hirono: 3%
Gavin Newsom: 3%
Mark Udall: 1%
Charlie Crist: 1%
Steny Hoyer: ~0%
Undecided: 14%

[Maxwell]

Iowa Caucus Approaching...



"I am withdrawing from the Presidential race, as once again, it seems that there is no path towards my victory. I will be endorsing Governor Shumlin, as he is a great progressive voice for the country!"



"Unfortunately, I will not be going forward in this campaign. However, my endorsement is for a true conservative: Former Senator Jim Demint. He is going to put our country back on the right path."

National Polls the Day of the Caucus (Republicans):
Rand Paul: 19%
Jim Demint: 16%
Paul Ryan: 16%
Jeff Flake: 13%
Brian Sandoval: 12%
Rob McKenna: 8%
Bob Corker: 4%
Mitch McConnell: 2%
Undecided: 10%

National Polls the Day of the Caucus (Democrats):
Peter Shumlin: 24%
Cory Booker: 22%
Mark Begich: 15%
Amy Klobuchar: 14%
Charlie Crist: 6%
Gavin Newsom: 4%
Mazie Hirono: 3%
Steny Hoyer: 2%
Undecided: 10%

Meanwhile, in Iowa

Iowa, 5% of the Precincts Reporting:

Republicans:
Jim Demint: 22.54%
Jeff Flake: 21.94%
Rand Paul: 20.22%
Brian Sandoval: 14.32%
Paul Ryan: 11.21%
Rob McKenna: 4.23%
Bob Corker: 2.84%
Mitch McConnell: 2.70%

Democrats:
Mark Begich: 28.43%
Peter Shumlin: 26.34%
Cory Booker: 19.94%
Amy Klobuchar: 12.84%
Charlie Crist: 10.74%
Gavin Newsom: 6.77%
Mazie Hirono: 2.84%
Steny Hoyer: 0.84%

"It's a big shock for Cory Booker, the front-runner in the race for god knows how long, is now called for third place in the race. This can't be a good place for him to be on the Democratic side. That being said, polling in most other states, particularly in the states of Michigan and South Carolina, are fairly favorable to him, but watch for a change in that perhaps. Amy Klobuchar also bombs in the state, getting fourth and barely beating out Charlie Crist, a former Republican, who surprises everyone with a fifth place showing much higher than anyone expected." - Chris Matthews

"Meanwhile, on the republican side, the three way tie was expected. Jim Demint, who became the front-runner for a while, dropped significantly when his stature as the conservative candidate became an issue and his debate skills remained questionable throughout the campaign. They never hit Perry levels though, so he remained viable. Flake always had some kind of weird strength in Iowa, and Rand Paul inheriting his fathers legacy in the state, so we get a three way fight between these candidates. Paul Ryan certainly wanted to do better than fifth, I assure you, and Moderate Brian Sandoval surprising everyone with a strong fourth place with over fourteen percent of the vote. Even though he wasn't trying, Washington Governor Rob McKenna must be disappointed by that sixth place showing." - Rachel Maddow

[Niemeyerite]

Shumlin shouldbe President someday.

[Maxwell]

Mark Begich wins the Iowa Caucus, Shumlin still takes a strong second place in the Democratic Field




Democrat Iowa Caucus:
Mark Begich: 28.21%
Peter Shumlin: 24.43%
Cory Booker: 18.84%
Amy Klobuchar: 11.02%
Charlie Crist: 10.56%
Gavin Newsom: 4.33%
Mazie Hirono: 1.98%
Steny Hoyer: 0.63%

Delegates:
Mark Begich: 18
Peter Shumlin: 15
Cory Booker: 12


Rand Paul wins the Iowa Caucus, Flake and Demint are within .01% of eachother



Republican Iowa Caucus:
Rand Paul: 22.01%
Jeff Flake: 20.75%
Jim Demint: 20.74%
Brian Sandoval: 15.02%
Paul Ryan: 10.53%
Rob McKenna: 5.08%
Bob Corker: 3.84%
Mitch McConnell: 2.03%

Rand Paul: 11
Jeff Flake: 10
Jim Demint: 9
Brian Sandoval: 7

Mazie Hirono and Bob Corker drop out!



"I will not be continuing my quest for the Presidency of the United States, and will be endorsing Jim Demint for President."



"I will endorse Peter Shumlin for President."

Republicans:

National Polls:
Rand Paul: 22%
Jim Demint: 15%
Jeff Flake: 15%
Paul Ryan: 15%
Brian Sandoval: 15%
Rob McKenna: 8%
Mitch McConnell: 2%
Undecided: 8%

New Hampshire:
Rand Paul: 26%
Brian Sandoval: 25%
Rob McKenna: 15%
Paul Ryan: 10%
Jeff Flake: 10%
Jim Demint: 5%
Mitch McConnell: 3%
Undecided: 6%

South Carolina:
Jim Demint: 40%
Rand Paul: 24%
Jeff Flake: 16%
Mitch McConnell: 6%
Paul Ryan: 4%
Brian Sandoval: 2%
Rob McKenna: 1%
Undecided: 7%

Florida:
Brian Sandoval: 33%
Rand Paul: 23%
Rob McKenna: 14%
Jim DeMint: 12%
Jeff Flake: 8%
Paul Ryan: 4%
Mitch McConnell:0%
Undecided: 6%


Democrat:
National Polls:
Peter Shumlin: 24%
Cory Booker: 18%
Mark Begich: 17%
Amy Klobuchar: 13%
Charlie Crist: 10%
Gavin Newsom: 9%
Steny Hoyer: 1%
Undecided: 8%

New Hampshire:
Peter Shumlin: 42%
Cory Booker: 17%
Gavin Newsom: 15%
Mark Begich: 8%
Amy Klobuchar: 6%
Charlie Crist: 5%
Steny Hoyer: 1%
Undecided: 6%

South Carolina:
Cory Booker: 30%
Gavin Newsom: 27%
Charlie Crist: 12%
Peter Shumlin: 10%
Mark Begich: 6%
Steny Hoyer: 5%
Amy Klobchar: 4%
Undecided: 6%

Florida:
Charlie Crist: 29%
Cory Booker: 25%
Gavin Newsom: 20%
Peter Shumlin: 8%
Mark Begich: 7%
Amy Klobuchar: 3%
Steny Hoyer: 1%
Undecided: 7%

[Maxwell]

Sandoval, Begich win Wyoming Caucuses!



Wyoming (Republicans):
Brian Sandoval: 38.53%
Rob McKenna: 35.35%
Mitch McConnell: 15.45%
Paul Ryan: 4.43%
Jim Demint: 3.11%
Rand Paul: 1.87%
Jeff Flake: 1.26%

Brian Sandoval: 12
Rand Paul: 11
Jeff Flake: 10
Jim Demint: 9
Rob McKenna: 5
Mitch McConnell: 2



Wyoming (Democrats)
Mark Begich: 34.45%
Amy Klobuchar: 32.32%
Gavin Newsom: 12.21%
Cory Booker: 10.32%
Steny Hoyer: 6.87%
Charlie Crist: 2.82%
Peter Shumlin: 1.01%

Delegates:
Mark Begich: 24
Peter Shumlin: 15
Cory Booker: 12
Amy Klobuchar: 6

"If it wasn't clear enough, it's time for Mitch McConnell to leave the Presidential race. While he may banter about the fact he got 3rd in Wyoming when no one was expecting him to, Wyoming has little relevance in the Presidential race, so it's time for him to leave. Same with Steny Hoyer." - David Gergen

"Even though its just Wyoming, what does this loss say to Rob McKenna and Amy Klobuchar, who have both been struggling and got close, but no cigar?" - Wolf Blitzer

"Well, their chances are little to none, and this certainly doesn't help them. McKenna just doesn't have a fundamental standing in the Republican Party that Sandoval doesn't already provide and then some. McKenna is just a generic, liberal state republican moderate, Sandoval is much more than that. And Klobuchar is from a losing presidential ticket, so while she is charismatic and humorous, that doesn't help her a bit, plus Mark Begich has been much more effective in terms of campaigning in fewer states. Both of these candidates might continue for a little longer, but they ultimately will not be able to after a couple more states due to a lack of serious funding." - David Gergen

New Hampshire Polling A Day Before the Caucus:

Republicans:
Rand Paul: 24%
Brian Sandoval: 20%
Rob McKenna: 20%
Jeff Flake: 12%
Paul Ryan: 10%
Jim Demint: 6%
Mitch McConnell: 3%
Undecided: 5%

Democrats:
Peter Shumlin: 39%
Mark Begich: 17%
Cory Booker: 17%
Gavin Newsom: 12%
Charlie Crist: 5%
Amy Klobuchar: 4%
Steny Hoyer: 1%
Undecided: 5%

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Unless Shumlin or Newsom get the Dem Nomination, because of the sorry batch of candidates I'd probably cross-over and vote Flake or Sandoval for President.

[Maxwell]

New Hampshire Primary

Rand Paul wins, Rob McKenna disappoints while Flake over-performs



New Hampshire:
Rand Paul: 27.42%
Brian Sandoval: 23.43%
Rob McKenna: 16.23%
Jeff Flake: 15.21%
Paul Ryan: 9.22%
Jim Demint: 5.44%
Mitch McConnell: 3.05%

Rand Paul: 16
Brian Sandoval: 15
Jeff Flake: 12
Jim Demint: 9
Rob McKenna: 7
Mitch McConnell: 2

Rob McKenna drops out, endorses Brian Sandoval, while Paul Ryan stakes everything on Michigan



"There is no future for my candidacy. But luckily, there is another candidate that we can rely on for a truly moderate voice to continue the accomplishments of this administration. And that candidate and Brian Sandoval. "



"Nobody said running for President was going to be easy. Certainly, I didn't think it would be. Therefor, I am staking my candidacy, and possibly my career, on the state of Michigan, where I can hope for a win there."

Michigan Polls:
Brian Sandoval: 34%
Rand Paul: 21%
Paul Ryan: 19%
Jeff Flake: 14%
Jim Demint: 5%
Mitch McConnell: 2%
Undecided: 5%

Nevada:
Brian Sandoval: 60%
Rand Paul: 9%
Jeff Flake: 9%
Mitch McConnell: 8%
Jim Demint: 4%
Paul Ryan: 4%
Undecided: 6%



Shumlin takes New Hampshire expectedly, Booker barely beats Begich for second.

New Hampshire:
Peter Shumlin: 40.21%
Cory Booker: 20.43%
Mark Begich: 19.98%
Gavin Newsom: 11.54%
Charlie Crist: 4.32%
Amy Klobuchar: 3.01%
Steny Hoyer: 0.51%

Delegates:
Mark Begich: 29
Peter Shumlin: 27
Cory Booker: 17
Amy Klobuchar: 6

Steny Hoyer and Amy Klobuchar drop out, endorsing Cory Booker and Peter Shumlin respectively



"Looks like I wasn't welcome in this race. I am endorsing Senator Booker, because he knows bi-partisanship and doesn't need on the job training."



"Well, I enjoyed the sport. Peter Shumlin is someone who will change America in the right way, so I am endorsing him for President."

Michigan:
Cory Booker: 34%
Gavin Newsom: 30%
Mark Begich: 15%
Charlie Crist: 9%
Peter Shumlin: 6%
Undecided: 6%

Nevada:
Gavin Newsom: 35%
Charlie Crist: 22%
Mark Begich: 22%
Cory Booker: 10%
Peter Shumlin: 5%
Undecied: 6%

[Maxwell]

Brian Sandoval wins Michigan and Nevada, 3rd Place in Michigan Paul Ryan drops, doesn't endorse




Michigan:
Brian Sandoval: 38.43%
Rand Paul: 20.42%
Paul Ryan: 19.22%
Jeff Flake: 15.21%
Jim Demint: 6.32%
Mitch McConnel: 0.40%

 
Nevada:
Brian Sandoval: 52.23%
Jeff Flake: 18.53%
Rand Paul: 14.23%
Mitch McConnell: 9.55%
Jim Demint: 4.16%
Paul Ryan: 1.30%

Delegates:
Brian Sandoval: 69
Rand Paul: 27
Jeff Flake: 27
Paul Ryan: 11
Jim Demint: 9
Rob McKenna: 7
Mitch McConnell: 2

National Polls:
Brian Sandoval: 30%
Rand Paul: 24%
Jim DeMint: 18%
Jeff Flake: 15%
Mitch McConnell: 2%
Undecided: 11%

South Carolina Polls:
Jim Demint: 40%
Rand Paul: 20%
Mitch McConnell: 12%
Jeff Flake: 12%
Brian Sandoval: 9%
Undecided: 7%

Florida:
Brian Sandoval: 34%
Rand Paul: 24%
Jim Demint: 17%
Jeff Flake: 16%
Mitch McConnell: 1%
Undecided: 8%


Meanwhile, Gavin Newsom wins in Nevada, Cory Booker wins in Michigan



Nevada:
Gavin Newsom: 36.43%
Mark Begich: 23.85%
Charlie Crist: 21.92%
Cory Booker: 10.84%
Peter Shumlin: 6.96%




Michigan:
Cory Booker: 36.43%
Gavin Newsom: 28.23%
Mark Begich: 18.64%
Charlie Crist: 9.94%
Peter Shumlin: 6.76%

Delegates:
Cory Booker: 73
Mark Begich: 64
Gavin Newsom: 57
Peter Shumlin: 27
Charlie Crist: 5
Amy Klobuchar: 6

National Polls:
Cory Booker: 28%
Peter Shumlin: 22%
Gavin Newsom: 20%
Mark Begich: 15%
Charlie Crist: 10%
Undecided: 5%

South Carolina:
Cory Booker: 30%
Gavin Newsom: 25%
Charlie Crist: 18%
Mark Begich: 12%
Peter Shumlin: 7%
Undecided: 8%

Florida:
Charlie Crist: 26%
Gavin Newsom: 25%
Cory Booker: 25%
Mark Begich: 10%
Peter Shumlin: 5%
Undecided: 9%

[Maxwell]

Jim Demint wins South Carolina by a clear margin, 3rd Place Mitch McConnell drops out



South Carolina:
Jim Demint: 40.21%
Rand Paul: 25.43%
Mitch McConnell: 14.43%
Jeff Flake: 11.94%
Brian Sandoval: 7.99%

Cory Booker wins the South Carolina Primary!



South Carolina:
Cory Booker: 32.43%
Gavin Newsom: 30.21%
Charlie Crist: 22.28%
Mark Begich: 9.21%
Peter Shumlin: 5.87%

Rand Paul, in the midsts of a brutal campaign, pulls an upset in Florida after trailing by as  much as double digits against Brian Sandoval



Florida:
Rand Paul: 33.84%
Brian Sandoval: 33.43%
Jim Demint: 20.45%
Jeff Flake: 12.28%

Delegates Pre-Super Tuesday (Republican):
Rand Paul: 133
Brian Sandoval: 69
Jeff Flake: 27
Jim Demint: 27
Unallocated: 20

Gavin Newsom pulls out with the victory in Florida, Charlie Crist withdraws from the race after losing his home state

Florida:
Gavin Newsom: 28.43%
Charlie Crist: 28.21%
Cory Booker: 25.43%
Mark Begich: 13.74%
Peter Shumlin: 4.19%

Delegates Pre-Super Tuesday:
Gavin Newsom: 157
Cory Booker: 141
Charlie Crist: 67
Mark Begich: 64
Peter Shumlin: 27
Unallocated: 6

Republican Super Tuesday Prediction Map

National Polls:
Rand Paul: 28%
Brian Sandoval: 25%
Jim Demint: 25%
Jeff Flake: 18%
Undecided: 4%

Democratic Super Tuesday Prediction Map

National Polls:
Cory Booker: 34%
Gavin Newsom: 23%
Peter Shumlin: 20%
Mark Begich: 18%
Undecided: 5%

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Go Rand!

[Goldwater]

Go Rand!

[Maxwell]

Super Tuesday Republicans

New York:
Rand Paul: 40.53%
Brian Sandoval: 34.23%
Jeff Flake: 12.96%
Jim Demint: 12.28%

Tennessee:
Rand Paul: 38.94%
Jim Demint: 35.43%
Jeff Flake: 20.28%
Brian Sandoval: 5.35%

Connecticut:
Rand Paul: 42.38%
Brian Sandoval: 29.43%
Jeff Flake: 16.21%
Jim Demint: 11.98%

California:
Rand Paul: 34.55%
Brian Sandoval: 34.53%
Jeff Flake: 24.28%
Jim Demint: 6.64%

Alaska:
Rand Paul: 40.28%
Jeff Flake: 34.45%
Brian Sandoval: 23.85%
Jim Demint: 1.42%

Delaware:
Rand Paul: 30.35%
Jim Demint: 29.43%
Brian Sandoval: 25.94%
Jeff Flake: 14.28%



Massachusetts:
Brian Sandoval: 40.45%
Rand Paul: 39.84%
Jeff Flake: 13.53%
Jim Demint: 6.18%

New Jersey:
Brian Sandoval: 48.38%
Rand Paul: 26.94%
Jim Demint: 13.29%
Jeff Flake: 11.39%

Illinois:
Brian Sandoval: 39.84%
Rand Paul: 38.94%
Jim Demint: 15.93%
Jeff Flake: 5.29%

Missouri:
Brian Sandoval: 32.84%
Jim Demint: 31.27%
Rand Paul: 23.44%
Jeff Flake: 12.45%

Utah:
Brian Sandoval: 45.34%
Jeff Flake: 42.82%
Rand Paul: 8.21%
Jim Demint: 3.63%



Oklahoma:
Jim Demint: 51.48%
Rand Paul: 23.43%
Jeff Flake: 20.21%
Brian Sandoval: 4.88%

Arkansas:
Jim Demint: 49.59%
Rand Paul: 30.52%
Jeff Flake: 14.21%
Brian Sandoval: 5.68%

Georgia:
Jim Demint: 38.58%
Rand Paul: 29.49%
Brian Sandoval: 18.64%
Jeff Flake: 13.29%

Alabama:
Jim Demint: 54.96%
Rand Paul: 27.37%
Jeff Flake: 12.24%
Brian Sandoval: 5.43%



Arizona:
Jeff Flake: 78.98%
Jim Demint: 12.48%
Brian Sandoval: 5.89%
Rand Paul: 2.65%

Colorado:
Jeff Flake: 41.81%
Brian Sandoval: 41.23%
Rand Paul: 10.27%
Jim Demint: 6.69%

Minnesota:
Jeff Flake: 45.21%
Rand Paul: 22.22%
Brian Sandoval: 21.75%
Jim Demint: 10.82%

North Dakota:
Jeff Flake: 50.21%
Brian Sandoval: 31.62%
Rand Paul: 15.21%
Jim Demint: 2.96%

Super Tuesday Delegates:
Rand Paul: 307
Brian Sandoval: 289
Jeff Flake: 199
Jim Demint: 162

Overall Delegates:
Rand Paul: 440
Brian Sandoval: 358
Jeff Flake: 226
Jim Demint: 189

[Maxwell]

Former Senator Jim Demint drops out of the Presidential Race, endorses Rand Paul



"This race is a fight for the soul of America. Whether we want to continue to fight conservatively for individual liberty and prosperous economic futures, or shattered dreams and socialism. I will not stand to tear my party apart for the means of socialism. Therefore, I will be endorsing Rand Paul, because he represents this vision so clearly, and has fought so hard as the Vice President and, earlier on, as a senator, for conservative values. He will continue the great strides we've made during the Huntsman years."

National Polling b/Dropout:
Rand Paul: 40%
Brian Sandoval: 30%
Jeff Flake: 13%
Jim Demint: 10%
Undecided: 7%

National Polling after:
Rand Paul: 45%
Brian Sandoval: 30%
Jeff Flake: 15%
Undecided: 10%

Lousiana:
Rand Paul: 48%
Jeff Flake: 20%
Brian Sandoval: 15%
Undecided: 13%

Kansas:
Rand Paul: 40%
Jeff Flake: 25%
Brian Sandoval: 23%
Undecided: 12%

Maryland:
Brian Sandoval: 45%
Rand Paul: 35%
Jeff Flake: 8%
Undecided: 12%

Washington:
Brian Sandoval: 40%
Rand Paul: 40%
Jeff Flake: 6%
Undecided: 14%

Wisconsin:
Rand Paul: 42%
Brian Sandoval: 34%
Jeff Flake: 12%
Undecided: 12%

"Many of Demints supporters are still upset over his dropping out, adding 30% to the undecided range, while 20% of his supporters going to Flake inspite of the endorsement, and about half heading towards Vice President Rand Paul. Not shockingly to anyone observant to the race, Sandoval gets none of Demints supporters, mainly because he's the most moderate Republican candidate for president since, well, John Huntsman. It's a fifteen point lead for the Vice President, but anything can still happen at this point." - Chris Matthews

[Maxwell]

Super Tuesday Democrats

New Jersey:
Cory Booker: 72.85%
Peter Shumlin: 14.42%
Gavin Newsom: 8.31%
Mark Begich: 4.42%

Illinois:
Cory Booker: 35.43%
Gavin Newsom: 28.45%
Peter Shumlin: 25.96%
Mark Begich: 10.16%

Missouri:
Cory Booker: 39.54%
Gavin Newsom: 33.81%
Mark Begich: 15.29%
Peter Shumlin: 10.36%

Tennessee:
Cory Booker: 45.94%
Gavin Newsom: 30.45%
Mark Begich: 14.64%
Peter Shumlin: 8.97%

Alabama:
Cory Booker: 49.97%
Gavin Newsom: 29.58%
Mark Begich: 15.03%
Peter Shumlin: 5.42%

Georgia:
Cory Booker: 40.58%
Gavin Newsom: 35.23%
Peter Shumlin: 12.23%
Mark Begich: 11.96%

Arkansas:
Cory Booker: 52.85%
Gavin Newsom: 20.85%
Mark Begich: 20.26%
Peter Shumlin: 6.04%

Oklahoma:
Cory Booker: 44.82%
Mark Begich: 34.57%
Gavin Newsom: 14.29%
Peter Shumlin: 6.32%



New York:
Peter Shumlin: 35.28%
Cory Booker: 29.82%
Gavin Newsom: 28.81%
Mark Begich: 6.09%

Massachusetts:
Peter Shumlin: 52.82%
Gavin Newsom: 28.52%
Cory Booker: 14.28%
Mark Begich: 4.38%

Connecticut:
Peter Shumlin: 48.25%
Gavin Newsom: 25.12%
Cory Booker: 22.12%
Mark Begich: 4.51%

Colorado:
Peter Shumlin: 38.34%
Mark Begich: 32.35%
Gavin Newsom: 21.81%
Cory Booker: 7.50%

Delaware:
Peter Shumlin: 42.81%
Cory Booker: 42.34%
Gavin Newsom: 8.24%
Mark Begich: 6.61%



California:
Gavin Newsom: 45.82%
Peter Shumlin: 26.94%
Cory Booker: 18.63%
Mark Begich: 8.61%

Utah:
Gavin Newsom: 45.42%
Peter Shumlin: 42.28%
Mark Begich: 9.52%
Cory Booker: 2.78%

Arizona:
Gavin Newsom: 39.45%
Mark Begich: 35.23%
Cory Booker: 16.71%
Peter Shumlin: 8.61%



Alaska:
Mark Begich: 85.92%
Peter Shumlin: 11.11%
Cory Booker: 1.94%
Gavin Newsom: 1.03%

North Dakota:
Mark Begich: 50.23%
Gavin Newsom: 31.23%
Peter Shumlin: 15.24%
Cory Booker: 3.30%

Minnesota:
Mark Begich: 34.84%
Peter Shumlin: 33.23%
Gavin Newsom: 16.29%
Cory Booker: 15.64%

Super Tuesday Delegates:
Cory Booker: 567
Peter Shumlin: 400
Gavin Newsom: 515
Mark Begich: 121

Total Delegates:
Cory Booker: 708
Gavin Newsom: 672
Peter Shumlin: 427
Mark Begich: 185

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Can we see some head-to-head matchup polling. I'm convinced that unless we run Shumlin or Newsom, Cory Booker will be the nominee and we'll lose.

[Maxwell]

Mark Begich drops out of the race, doesn't endorse



"I will not be making an endorsement tonight, but I acknowledge that this campaign is officially over. After my term finishes up in Congress, I will go be to private life, where I feel like I belong. Campaigning isn't for me, its making government work. I think that none of the three candidates that I was running against ever have truly understood the individual, so, while I won't betray my party by running in a third party, I will not abdicate my support to any of these three candidates, honorable men they may be.

National Polling b/Dropout:
Cory Booker: 35%
Gavin Newsom: 30%
Peter Shumlin: 20%
Mark Begich: 8%
Undecided: 7%

National Polling after:
Cory Booker: 36%
Gavin Newsom: 31%
Peter Shumlin: 22%
Undecided: 11%

Louisana:
Cory Booker: 50%
Gavin Newsom: 33%
Peter Shumlin: 5%
Undecided: 12%

Kansas:
Cory Booker: 37%
Gavin Newsom: 37%
Peter Shumlin: 15%
Undecided: 11%

D.C.:
Peter Shumlin: 80%
Gavin Newsom: 5%
Cory Booker: 3%
Undecided: 12%

Maryland:
Peter Shumlin: 34%
Cory Booker: 34%
Gavin Newsom: 22%
Undecided: 10%

Virginia:
Cory Booker: 43%
Peter Shumlin: 24%
Gavin Newsom: 20%
Undecided: 13%

Washington:
Gavin Newsom: 37%
Peter Shumlin: 33%
Cory Booker: 16%
Undecided: 14%

Wisconsin:
Peter Shumlin: 37%
Cory Booker: 26%
Gavin Newsom: 24%
Undecided: 13%

"An unusual statement from Mark Begich, whose libertarian lean definitely made him much different from the other democratic candidates in the field. It's not unusual for him to not endorse in this way, many do, but it is unusual for him to absolutely quit politics in their withdraw speech. Nevertheless, most of his supporters abandon the race, becoming undecided, with most of the ones that do go going to Peter Shumlin, who is the most liberal candidate of this campaign. So far, he is further down in the polls and in delegates, but a lot of the map looks favorable to him, while Newsom, who gained huge from California being his home state, has a rather dry looking map, with a bare edge in Washington state and not much else. Booker, after some question of his frontrunner status, is on fire lately, and it looks like he might become the nominee if Shumlin and Newsom disappoint anywhere, but the possibility of a brokered convention is still in play." - Chris Matthews

Head to Head Matchups:

w/Cory Booker:
Cory Booker: 50%
Rand Paul: 40%
Undecided: 10%

Cory Booker: 45%
Brian Sandoval: 44%
Undecided: 11%

Cory Booker: 51%
Jeff Flake: 36%
Undecided: 13%

with Gavin Newsom:

Gavin Newsom: 46%
Rand Paul: 42%
Undecided: 12%

Brian Sandoval: 47%
Gavin Newsom: 40%
Undecided: 13%

Gavin Newsom: 50%
Jeff Flake: 42%
Undecided: 8%

with Peter Shumlin:

Rand Paul: 46%
Peter Shumlin: 43%
Undecided: 13%

Brian Sandoval: 48%
Peter Shumlin: 36%
Undecided: 16%

Peter Shumlin: 42%
Jeff Flake: 40%
Undecided: 18%

"Head to head polling shows that Booker, who appeals to moderates and cool heads, leads all his Republican challengers, though Sandoval makes it within the margin of error. Still not many people know of Shumlin, so against his opponents, even though the margins are high, its mostly because the public is not that aware of him even today. Newsom would be a strong candidate against anyone but Sandoval, because Sandoval negates a lot of his western strength. Any way you slice it though, it could be a tight race for whoever comes out to be the nominee." - Wolf Blitzer

[Niemeyerite]

Damn Begich. He should have supported Shumlin...

I hope Shumlin wins, but it's almost impossible... If he doesn't gain some traction, I'll support Booker over Newsom

[Maxwell]

February 9th

Paul wins Louisana and Kansas, Newsom wins Kansas, Booker wins Louisana

Louisiana (Republicans):
Rand Paul: 56.28%
Jeff Flake: 32.51%
Brian Sandoval: 11.29%

Kansas (Republicans):
Rand Paul: 46.43%
Jeff Flake: 29.58%
Brian Sandoval: 23.99%

Louisiana (Democrats):
Cory Booker: 53.43%
Gavin Newsom: 31.28%
Peter Shumlin: 15.29%

Kansas (Democrats):
Gavin Newsom: 41.32%
Cory Booker: 40.85%
Peter Shumlin: 17.83%

February 12th

Sandoval wins Maryland and D.C., Paul wins Virginia

Maryland:
Brian Sandoval: 42.38%
Rand Paul: 39.53%
Jeff Flake: 18.09%

D.C.:
Brian Sandoval: 69.45%
Rand Paul: 22.58%
Jeff Flake: 7.97%

Virginia:
Rand Paul: 48.58%
Brian Sandoval: 36.25%
Jeff Flake: 15.17%

Overall Delegates:
Rand Paul: 538
Brian Sandoval: 417
Jeff Flake: 267
Jim Demint: 189


In a situation fairly similar to the GOP, Shumlin wins Maryland and D.C., Booker wins Virginia

Maryland:
Peter Shumlin: 38.92%
Cory Booker: 37.29%
Gavin Newsom: 23.79%

D.C.:
Peter Shumlin: 92.13%
Gavin Newsom: 5.21%
Cory Booker: 2.66%

Virginia:
Cory Booker: 49.85%
Peter Shumlin: 28.12%
Gavin Newsom: 22.03%

Total Delegates:
Cory Booker: 814
Gavin Newsom: 736
Peter Shumlin: 502
Mark Begich: 185

[Maxwell]

Flake announces he will continue the race with a win in Wisconsin!



"Wisconsin seems like the perfect place for a free thinker, and I think that the state is ready for the Flake campaign, as I feel the momentum in the state coming my way!"

Wisconsin:
Rand Paul: 36%
Brian Sandoval: 32%
Jeff Flake: 26%
Undecided: 6%

Washington:
Brian Sandoval: 43%
Rand Paul: 41%
Jeff Flake: 10%
Undecided: 6%

[Maxwell]

Sandoval pulls of the state of Washington, Shumlin upsets in the state!

Washington (Republicans):
Brian Sandoval: 45.52%
Rand Paul: 43.91%
Jeff Flake: 10.57%

Washington (Democrats):
Peter Shumlin: 42.81%
Gavin Newsom: 42.24%
Cory Booker: 14.95%

Shumlin takes a double whammy tonight, Flake's gamble doesn't quite pay off, but he gets close

Wisconsin (Republicans):
Rand Paul: 38.25%
Jeff Flake: 37.69%
Brian Sandoval: 24.06%

Wisconsin (Democrats):
Peter Shumin: 53.27%
Cory Booker: 29.18%
Gavin Newsom: 17.55%

Senator Jeff Flake drops out, Endorses VP Rand Paul



"I felt the party needed a different, independent voice into the mix, and I feel that I have made that voice clear. That being said, I stand with Vice President Rand Paul, because he represents the strength of the Republican Party as he has been so strong on so many issues, even ones I happen to disagree with. He will make a great nominee of this Grand Old Party."

National Polling:
Rand Paul: 62%
Brian Sandoval: 34%
Undecided: 4%

Ohio:
Rand Paul: 56%
Brian Sandoval: 39%
Undecided: 5%

Texas:
Rand Paul: 63%
Brian Sandoval: 33%
Undecided: 4%

Vermont:
Rand Paul: 54%
Brian Sandoval: 41%
Undecided: 5%

Rhode Island:
Rand Paul: 49%
Brian Sandoval: 45%
Undecided: 6%

Pennsylvania:
Rand Paul: 51%
Brian Sandoval: 42%
Undecided: 9%

Maps:

Republican

Overall Delegates:
Rand Paul: 571
Brian Sandoval: 449
Jeff Flake: 282
Unallocated: 189

Democratic

Total Delegates:
Cory Booker: 836
Gavin Newsom: 782
Peter Shumlin: 586
Un-allocated: 185

Democratic Polling

National Poll:
Cory Booker: 35%
Peter Shumlin: 31%
Gavin Newsom: 29%
Undecided: 5%

Ohio:
Cory Booker: 38%
Peter Shumlin: 35%
Gavin Newsom: 20%
Undecided: 7%

Texas:
Cory Booker: 36%
Gavin Newsom: 35%
Peter Shumlin: 19%
Undecided: 10%

Vermont:
Peter Shumlin: 75%
Cory Booker: 14%
Gavin Newsom: 5%
Undecided: 6%

Rhode Island:
Peter Shumlin: 60%
Cory Booker: 20%
Gavin Newsom: 11%
Undecided: 9%

[Maxwell]

One Day, 4 Primaries (Republicans)

Rand Paul sweeps all four primaries, Sandoval drops out

Ohio:
Rand Paul: 58.23%
Brian Sandoval : 41.77%

Texas:
Rand Paul: 65.42%
Brian Sandoval: 34.58%

Vermont:
Rand Paul: 56.21%
Brian Sandoval: 43.79%

Rhode Island:
Rand Paul: 52.81%
Brian Sandoval: 47.19%

Sandoval Drops out, endorses Rand Paul, now the Republican Nominee



"There isn't a path to my election as president, and as a result, I will be dropping out, and am endorsing Rand Paul, because he has made great strides as the Vice President towards a stronger America, and this direction needs to be continued."

Overall Delegates:
Rand Paul: 727
Brian Sandoval: 546
Unallocated: 471



Rand Paul gains the Republican Nomination!

Final Delegates:
Rand Paul: 1147
Brian Sandoval: 546
Unallocated: 471

[Niemeyerite]

Great! Paul will be easier to defeat than Sandoval.. But, considering you're a libertarian, he may win anyway .

Only one critic: I don't think Booker gets only 2.66% of the vote in DC considering he's an afroamerican

Let's see who carries Ohio. I hope it's Shumlin, he has the big Mo.

[Maxwell]

Great! Paul will be easier to defeat than Sandoval.. But, considering you're a libertarian, he may win anyway .

Only one critic: I don't think Booker gets only 2.66% of the vote in DC considering he's an afroamerican

Let's see who carries Ohio. I hope it's Shumlin, he has the big Mo.

Not necessarily...

I mean I am deeply libertarian, but it's all about narrative!

Also, on the D.C. critic, that's probably right, but I was going under the assumption that the most liberal candidate wins D.C. handidly, and since Newsom is kind of pro-business and Booker clearly has ties, that Shumlin would CLEARLY take D.C. by gigantic margins.