KY-SurveyUSA: Romney has large lead in the state
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 05:51:46 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  KY-SurveyUSA: Romney has large lead in the state
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: KY-SurveyUSA: Romney has large lead in the state  (Read 4925 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 16, 2012, 12:51:54 AM »



Hmm, the graphic is not really sharp. We'll have to wait for the news release I guess.

http://www.courier-journal.com
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2012, 01:00:53 AM »

If the chart on the graphic is indeed the Obama/Romney matchup and not something else, Romney is probably ahead by something like 2:1 in Kentucky.

The chart implies that Romney has about 55-60% support and Obama 25-30%.

But it could be a chart for something else.
Logged
MaxQue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,600
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2012, 02:13:33 AM »

53-39

http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20120916/NEWS0106/309160046/Romney-has-large-lead-Kentucky-Bluegrass-Poll-shows?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|Home&nclick_check=1
Logged
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,157
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2012, 02:22:24 AM »
« Edited: September 16, 2012, 02:27:21 AM by True Federalist »

3% Other 5% Undecided, 606 LV

Looks like Obama will do better in Kentucky than he did in 2008.  However at this rate, Kentucky won't be a tossup state until mid-century.
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,621
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2012, 03:29:18 AM »

Improvement I guess.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2012, 03:40:55 AM »

Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,841
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2012, 05:07:47 AM »

Barack Obama remains a poor cultural match for Kentucky outside of Louisville, Frankfort, Lexington, and Covington.
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
a Person
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2012, 05:45:53 AM »

In before Bandit claims fraud.
Logged
Ty440
GoldenBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 668
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2012, 08:39:03 AM »

Barack Obama remains a poor cultural match for Kentucky outside of Louisville, Frankfort, Lexington, and Covington.


And the multimillionaire , Mormon from Massachusetts is a good cultural match?

It's about race nothing more nothing less, If Obama was a white man named Barry O'Neil, the numbers would be reversed.
Logged
technical support
thrillr1111
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 309
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2012, 09:25:26 AM »
« Edited: September 16, 2012, 09:27:32 AM by thrillr1111 »

Barack Obama remains a poor cultural match for Kentucky outside of Louisville, Frankfort, Lexington, and Covington.

Bill Clinton carried this state. I think if Hillary Clinton was on the ticket with Obama. He could carry Kentucky and Arkansas if Hillary campaigned hard in those states. I'm not sure why Joe Biden isn't a good fit in certain parts of Ky. He's a good fit in Scranton PA
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,237
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2012, 09:28:40 AM »

Barack Obama remains a poor cultural match for Kentucky outside of Louisville, Frankfort, Lexington, and Covington.

Covington and its surrounding county is actually heavily Republican.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,951


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 16, 2012, 10:56:27 AM »


This from the pollster that claimed Romney was winning the 18-29 crowd in Colorado.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,951


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2012, 10:58:00 AM »

Barack Obama remains a poor cultural match for Kentucky outside of Louisville, Frankfort, Lexington, and Covington.

Covington and its surrounding county is actually heavily Republican.

The city is Democratic though.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,628
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 16, 2012, 12:05:27 PM »

New Poll: Kentucky President by Survey USA on 2012-09-13

Summary: D: 39%, R: 53%, I: 3%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 16, 2012, 12:15:14 PM »

Kentucky is probably one of those 5 or 6 states that swings D in a close race.
Logged
xavier110
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,510
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 16, 2012, 12:16:45 PM »

"The best news in the poll for Obama came when people were asked who is more in touch with average working people — Obama got 44 percent to Romney’s 41 percent."

LOLz
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,951


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 16, 2012, 12:20:07 PM »

Kentucky is probably one of those 5 or 6 states that swings D in a close race.

Notice that even with a Republican pollster like SurveyUSA, Obama does better in Kentucky than he did last time.

The county-by-county trends are going to be somewhat interesting.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,719
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 16, 2012, 12:59:28 PM »

SUSA is a Republican pollster? They're quite crappy, in my opinion, but Kentucky and Washington are their best states.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,841
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 16, 2012, 01:09:03 PM »

What may be more significant -- if Kentucky is at all closer for President Obama, then Missouri (which has areas much like eastern Kentucky) gets much closer. Indiana is then in play because southern Indiana is culturally close to Kentucky.
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,951


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 16, 2012, 01:13:34 PM »

What may be more significant -- if Kentucky is at all closer for President Obama, then Missouri (which has areas much like eastern Kentucky) gets much closer. Indiana is then in play because southern Indiana is culturally close to Kentucky.

That depends on whether the urban-rural split is widening, which is still unclear.

This poll says Romney wins the Louisville area by 10, but it's a 14-county area, not just Jefferson County.

I have a gut feeling Obama is going to pick up Marion County this time around.
Logged
LiberalJunkie
LiberalJunkie99
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 670
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 16, 2012, 02:30:46 PM »

Looks like Kentucky won't swing much if things stay the same.
Logged
Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,127
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 16, 2012, 09:06:34 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

95 percent of black people voted for Obama. You're quite right, it's all about race.
Logged
old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,741


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 16, 2012, 10:23:32 PM »

It's crazy how much things have changed in only 20 years. In the 1992 race, Clinton won Kentucky and New Jersey by about the same margin.

Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,951


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 16, 2012, 10:26:57 PM »

It's crazy how much things have changed in only 20 years. In the 1992 race, Clinton won Kentucky and New Jersey by about the same margin.

Not only that, but Campbell County used to be one of the very worst counties in Kentucky. It's still worse than average, but not that much worse.
Logged
old timey villain
cope1989
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,741


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 16, 2012, 10:32:33 PM »

I don't know much about Campbell County, KY. I assume it's a suburb of Cincinnati?

I was talking more about the realignment. It seems like most conservative Democrats in KY have moved into the R column. I see Kentucky as a safe Republican state for years to come.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.058 seconds with 15 queries.