VA-PPP: Obama over 50%, leads by 5

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

With the homogeneity of the NH electorate... there's not too much room for the pollsters to screw up.

I'm not saying that this is going to happen here, but there's always room for New Hampshire pollsters to screw up.  Remember Obama's 8.3 point lead in the polls before the 2008 Democratic primary?  Clinton ended up wining it.  Homogeneity can't fix last-minute shifts, voters lying to the pollsters or poor poll design.

Ummm... I don't think a group of Democrats switching from one Democrat to another Democrat in a race where maybe 15% of the total electorate shows up is a fair comparison to a general election between two different parties.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Virginia President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-09-16

Summary: D: 49%, R: 45%, I: 4%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Umengus]

the good new for Romney is that he wins I by 2. The bad is that the dem base would be motivated.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

the good new for Romney is that he wins I by 2. The bad is that the dem base would be motivated.

I don't think winning independents by 2 is terribly great news for Romney, but it's certainly not the worst he's had of late.