Washington Post finds Obama up 8 in Virginia.
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  Washington Post finds Obama up 8 in Virginia.
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Author Topic: Washington Post finds Obama up 8 in Virginia.  (Read 1597 times)
pa2011
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« on: September 18, 2012, 11:46:23 AM »

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/post-poll-obama-up-8-points-over-romney-in-virginia/2012/09/18/ca691d9a-0193-11e2-9367-4e1bafb958db_story.html

52 Obama. 44 Romney among likely voters. Looking like a repeat of '08 in Virginia.
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Reds4
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2012, 12:13:38 PM »

Eight points seems like too much.. Obama is ahead there.. but not by 8 if national polls showing a 3 or 4 point lead are correct.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2012, 12:19:02 PM »

A bit overboard here but still expect Obama leading here.
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pa2011
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2012, 12:20:09 PM »
« Edited: September 18, 2012, 12:22:03 PM by pa2011 »

Maybe but think the Post has a pretty good track record of polling in Virginia. McCain only received 46 percent in Virginia, so not out of the question that Romney, after DNC and all the missteps, is also stuck around 44 percent there as well.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2012, 12:23:56 PM »

Virginia seems to be slipping away from Mitt.  PPP, Marist/NBC, and now ABC/Washington Post all have moderate leads for Obama, all right around the magic number of 50%. 

Having Goode on the ballot doesn't help, either. 

Clearly a lean Obama at this point. 
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Sbane
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2012, 12:25:52 PM »

So the east trends Democrat and the west trends Republican? I guess that kinda makes sense if you think about the issues at play....
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2012, 12:31:51 PM »

there are some mixed messages coming from the polls. VA is another tipping point state that should be close to the national avg, like CO.

So are we to believe Obama is up 8 and down 2 at the same time?  

If you take all the state polls coming this week, there is a lot of divergence and I cant tell who is trending
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Umengus
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2012, 01:27:40 PM »

party id: D +8

I: 35 %
D: 32 %
R: 24%

exit poll 2008:

D: 39%
R: 32 %
I: 27 %

so, big LOL
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mondale84
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2012, 01:32:04 PM »

there are some mixed messages coming from the polls. VA is another tipping point state that should be close to the national avg, like CO.

So are we to believe Obama is up 8 and down 2 at the same time?  

If you take all the state polls coming this week, there is a lot of divergence and I cant tell who is trending

Usually the polls don't really line up in the weeks after the conventions.

At the same time, Rasmussen's polls are obvious junk and should be ignored.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2012, 01:36:27 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.
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mondale84
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2012, 01:38:22 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

Which would confirm we are looking at a 2008-ish environment. But, hacks gonna hack...
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Umengus
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« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2012, 01:41:51 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2012, 01:43:03 PM »

I just cannot believe he leads by more than 5% in Virginia.
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mondale84
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« Reply #13 on: September 18, 2012, 01:43:22 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.
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Umengus
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« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2012, 01:45:15 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election
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mondale84
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« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2012, 01:47:19 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2012, 01:48:07 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

LOL.

Calm down a bit, or I have to infract you ... Tongue
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2012, 01:50:54 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

Sorry, mondale84, but my APStats teacher from high school was actually polled by Rasmussen in 2010.
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Umengus
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« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2012, 01:51:04 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

lol

you have lost your credibility... if you had.
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mondale84
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« Reply #19 on: September 18, 2012, 01:51:56 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

lol

you have lost your credibility... if you had.

Says the poster who thinks Rasmussen is some left-wing hack... Roll Eyes
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Umengus
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« Reply #20 on: September 18, 2012, 01:56:58 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

lol

you have lost your credibility... if you had.

Says the poster who thinks Rasmussen is some left-wing hack... Roll Eyes

never said that
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mondale84
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« Reply #21 on: September 18, 2012, 02:00:50 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

lol

you have lost your credibility... if you had.

Says the poster who thinks Rasmussen is some left-wing hack... Roll Eyes

never said that

You don't need to say it, we all know you think that when you consider OH, FL, VA, CO, IA dead even when the only pollster to say they are close is Rassy and even he gives Obama the edge. You're to the right of Scotty when it comes to your trolling and it's getting old real fast.
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Umengus
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« Reply #22 on: September 18, 2012, 02:07:44 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

lol

you have lost your credibility... if you had.

Says the poster who thinks Rasmussen is some left-wing hack... Roll Eyes

never said that

You don't need to say it, we all know you think that when you consider OH, FL, VA, CO, IA dead even when the only pollster to say they are close is Rassy and even he gives Obama the edge. You're to the right of Scotty when it comes to your trolling and it's getting old real fast.

others pollsters have shown close races in these states: ppp in WI, SUSA in CO,... and some have shown Romney in lead position.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #23 on: September 18, 2012, 02:20:57 PM »

This 52-44 result is actually the same result as the final WaPo poll in VA in 2008.

Of course we know that Obama won VA by 6.3%, so the WaPo poll was only off by a 1.7% margin.

in 2008, the last rasmussen poll gave O+4... not so bad...

Yeah, at the end of the race when he wanted to claim he had a smidge of credibility he made up some numbers that fit within the general consensus. Rasmussen doesn't poll, he makes stuff up.

lol no


Scotty pulled those numbers out of his ass. HE DOESN'T POLL, HE MAKES THE NUMBERS UP! GET IT THROUGH YOUR THICK SKULL!

lol

you have lost your credibility... if you had.

Says the poster who thinks Rasmussen is some left-wing hack... Roll Eyes

never said that

You don't need to say it, we all know you think that when you consider OH, FL, VA, CO, IA dead even when the only pollster to say they are close is Rassy and even he gives Obama the edge. You're to the right of Scotty when it comes to your trolling and it's getting old real fast.

others pollsters have shown close races in these states: ppp in WI, SUSA in CO,... and some have shown Romney in lead position.

Don't confuse him with facts, Umengus.  Given his utter disdain for them, he ought to be a Republican. Wink
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #24 on: September 18, 2012, 02:48:22 PM »

party id: D +8

I: 35 %
D: 32 %
R: 24%

exit poll 2008:

D: 39%
R: 32 %
I: 27 %

so, big LOL

Actually, party ID among LIKELY voters is D+9 for this poll, according to Argo Journal: http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2012/09/poll-watch-washington-post-virginia.html
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