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  NBC/Wall ST. Journal - Obama 50 Romney 45
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Author Topic: NBC/Wall ST. Journal - Obama 50 Romney 45  (Read 913 times)
pa2011
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« on: September 18, 2012, 05:40:05 pm »

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/18/13944838-nbcwsj-poll-obama-leads-romney-nationally-by-5-points?lite

Obama +5 likely. +6 registered
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pa2011
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2012, 05:42:15 pm »

Ouch. Poll was taken even before the Romney video became news. And Obama holds a 53 to 34 lead over Romney on who cares for the middle class. Hard to see a path for Romney to win unless that narrows, significantly.
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2012, 05:53:22 pm »

Seems legit.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2012, 06:09:40 pm »

Yeah the internals are not looking good for Romney. In August he led on the economy by 6, but now it is tied. Obama has extended or maintained lead in all other issues. If Obama has fought Romney to a draw on the economy, he wins.
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Sbane
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2012, 06:21:36 pm »

If Romney is even leading by just a few points on the economy, he has lost the election. Obama is just leading by too much on Medicare, taxes and on who is best for the middle class/ cares about people like me.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2012, 06:28:07 pm »

And this is pre-47%... this is gonna get ugly for Mitt...
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mondale84
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2012, 06:43:18 pm »

In before the party ID trolls Smiley
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2012, 06:48:42 pm »

Chuck Todd just explained how they determine LV vs. RV. They ask how interested you are in the election (1-10) and if you voted in 2008 or 2010. LVs are people who voted at least once in last two elections and rate their interest as a 6 or more.

It wasn't clear if there is any way for a first time voter to get into the LV screen. in 2008 11% were first time voters and Obama won them by 39 points
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2012, 07:11:24 pm »

The change from their last poll in mid-August:

Obama: 50% (+2)
Romney: 45% (+1)

So the last poll was 48-44%, a 4 pt, as opposed to a 5 pt lead.

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2012, 08:19:00 pm »

The change from their last poll in mid-August:

Obama: 50% (+2)
Romney: 45% (+1)

So the last poll was 48-44%, a 4 pt, as opposed to a 5 pt lead.

The last poll was of registered voters only though, this one is of likely voters, so you can't really directly compare those numbers. Registered voters went 50%-44% in this one.

Interesting internal stuff: Obama's foreign policy numbers did take a significant hit in this poll but his economic numbers have improved.
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Umengus
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2012, 11:49:33 pm »

party id:

D 42 R 37 I 16

2008:

D 39 R32 I 27

Junk nbc poll. again.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2012, 12:11:49 am »

Looks accurate.

The victims and socialist bums are eager to come out and vote for Obama once again.
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ajb
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2012, 12:18:57 am »

party id:

D 42 R 37 I 16

2008:

D 39 R32 I 27

Junk nbc poll. again.
I'm looking forward to election night, when Democrats are oversampled one last time in the greatest junk poll of all.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2012, 02:02:11 am »

party id:

D 42 R 37 I 16

2008:

D 39 R32 I 27

Junk nbc poll. again.

Yea, seriously.  I wish Gravis Marketing had conducted it. 
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #14 on: September 19, 2012, 04:31:30 am »

party id:

D 42 R 37 I 16

2008:

D 39 R32 I 27

Junk nbc poll. again.
I'm looking forward to election night, when Democrats are oversampled one last time in the greatest junk poll of all.

This.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2012, 05:51:28 am »

party id:

D 42 R 37 I 16

2008:

D 39 R32 I 27

Junk nbc poll. again.
I'm looking forward to election night, when Democrats are oversampled one last time in the greatest junk poll of all.

Win.
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