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  Quinnipiac to release new CO, VA, WI polls today @ 7am EST
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac to release new CO, VA, WI polls today @ 7am EST  (Read 3035 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 19, 2012, 12:10:37 am »

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28co-va-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1799
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2012, 12:39:01 am »

Considering the polls were done before Romney's "47%", here are my predictions:

CO: Obama+2
VA: Obama+6
WI: Obama+3

And this bit of news will probably get Krazen sexually aroused:

A new Marquette poll for WI will be released later today as well.
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J. J.
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2012, 12:42:07 am »

My guesses:

CO: Tie

VA: Obama +5

WI:  Romney +1
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5280
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2012, 01:27:55 am »
« Edited: September 19, 2012, 01:29:27 am by 5280 »

CO: Romney +1
WI: Romney +2
VA: Obama +4
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2012, 02:54:24 am »

CO Obama +3
VA Obama +8
WI Obama +4
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2012, 03:00:24 am »

VA: Obama +5
CO: Obama +3
WI: Obama +2
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Fmr. Pres. Griff
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2012, 03:00:48 am »

CO: Obama + 2

VA: Obama +5

WI Obama + 4
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2012, 03:03:01 am »

VA: Obama +5
CO: Obama +3
WI: Obama +2
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Hugo Award nominee
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« Reply #8 on: September 19, 2012, 03:18:12 am »

VA: Obama +5
CO: Obama +3
WI: Obama +2
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2012, 04:33:23 am »

VA Obama+6
CO Obama +4
WI Obama +1
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afleitch
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« Reply #10 on: September 19, 2012, 04:57:09 am »

Is this the Wisconsin poll?

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/19/us/politics/obama-holds-edge-over-romney-in-wisconsin-poll-shows.html?_r=1&hp

Then it's Obama +6
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2012, 05:19:30 am »

Is this the Wisconsin poll?

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/19/us/politics/obama-holds-edge-over-romney-in-wisconsin-poll-shows.html?_r=1&hp

Then it's Obama +6

Looks like they have CO and VA up also.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/swing-state-polls?ref=politics

So it's:

WI: Obama +6
CO: Obama +1
VA: Obama +4
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afleitch
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2012, 05:23:36 am »

So that's a change of:

Obama +2 to Obama +6 in Wisconsin
Romney +5 to Obama +1 in Colorado
No change in Virginia.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2012, 06:04:13 am »

Well, Romney can't really replace OH with WI if he's doing equally poorly in both.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #14 on: September 19, 2012, 06:58:41 am »

Excerpts (New York Times)

Quote
As the president makes his first campaign visit of the year to Wisconsin on Saturday, the poll found that Mr. Obama was the choice of 51 percent to 45 percent for Mr. Romney among likely voters. The six-point lead, which includes those who said they were leaning in one direction or another, marks a slight shift in Mr. Obama’s direction since Representative Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin joined the Republican ticket last month.

The findings of the poll, along with the fallout from newly exposed remarks Mr. Romney made at a fund-raiser in which he bluntly suggested that 47 percent of Americans saw themselves as victims who are dependent on the government, offer a window into the challenges confronting his campaign here and other important swing states during the final 48 days of the race.


But this is before the '47% of Americans are not paying their fair share in taxes'  video leaked:

Quote
But President Obama has overtaken Mr. Romney on who would do a better job handling the economy, according to a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll of likely Wisconsin voters. The poll also found that Mr. Obama has a 17-point edge over Mr. Romney when voters are asked if a candidate cares about their needs and problems.

(Romney endorses severe inequality in income but laments that poor people are not paying the same 'high' taxes as tycoons and executives).

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/19/us/politics/obama-holds-edge-over-romney-in-wisconsin-poll-shows.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&hp 

Wisconsin: Obama up 6. Quinnipiac isn't a D-friendly pollster.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2012, 08:06:16 am »

Confirms that CO is completely up in the air, but Obama holds a clear advantage in WI and VA, as other polls have suggested. 

51% in Wisconsin?  nice.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #16 on: September 19, 2012, 08:36:57 am »

Yeah. I'll buy this. Colorado and Iowa seem to be the new Florida and Ohio this election. States that will slightly break for the winner at the end and still be very close even when Obama wins by a considerable margin.   
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #17 on: September 19, 2012, 08:40:30 am »

New Poll: Colorado President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-09-17

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, I: 2%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #18 on: September 19, 2012, 08:40:39 am »

New Poll: Virginia President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-09-17

Summary: D: 50%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2012, 08:40:47 am »

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-09-17

Summary: D: 51%, R: 45%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Hash
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« Reply #20 on: September 19, 2012, 08:42:42 am »

Stop posting your own numbers, moron.
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Ben Romney
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« Reply #21 on: September 19, 2012, 08:47:17 am »

my own numbers are very correct. I am using the right party ID and not a wishful thinking.
isnt it a free site for free minds here??
I overtake the illusional numbers of crosstabs but using the logical party ID

WI and VA are even with D`s and R`s so it comes down to the Indy votes!
CO is R+3
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #22 on: September 19, 2012, 08:53:53 am »


isnt it a free site for free minds here??


Νο.
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #23 on: September 19, 2012, 08:59:41 am »

Changing numbers so that Romney leads is just delusion, so stop it.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #24 on: September 19, 2012, 09:00:49 am »

my own numbers are very correct. I am using the right party ID and not a wishful thinking.
isnt it a free site for free minds here??
I overtake the illusional numbers of crosstabs but using the logical party ID

WI and VA are even with D`s and R`s so it comes down to the Indy votes!
CO is R+3

You need to remember that Kerry won indies in 2004.  Indies aren't everything...
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