Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2019, 04:44:14 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Quinnipiac to release new CO, VA, WI polls today @ 7am EST
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] Print
Author Topic: Quinnipiac to release new CO, VA, WI polls today @ 7am EST  (Read 3040 times)
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,488
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: September 19, 2012, 10:08:29 am »

Quote
Survey of 1,474 likely voters was conducted September 11-17, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% (30%) Democrat; 24% (23%) Republican; 36% (40%) Independent; 4% (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 6, 2012 are in parentheses

In other words, Party ID on that Virginia poll is D+11. It was D+6 in 2008. So, uhh, yeah.

Also, despite the shift in party ID from their last poll (their last poll was D+7), the race remains unchanged essentially (Obama led 49-45%, by the same four point margin, back in August).

There are almost certainly more Democrats in VA today than there were in 2008. 
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
a Person
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,810
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: September 19, 2012, 10:34:40 am »

PRESIDENT WISCONSIN (Quinnipiac): Obama: 51/46 my numbers: 48.4/49
Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Mitt Romney (R) 45%
my numbers: Romney/Obama: 48.6/48.6

Qiunn says Obama losing the Indies 44/50 don`t see a way to win for him if true

US SENATE WISCONSIN (Quinnipiac)
Tammy Baldwin (D) 47%
Tommy Thompson (R) 47%
my numbers:Thompson/Baldwin: 49.6/45.2

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/swb/swi09192012_back.doc

My numbers: Romney/Obama: -G64/אo
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,576
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: September 19, 2012, 11:07:10 am »

Stop posting your own numbers, moron.
Logged
Umengus
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,166
Belgium


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: September 19, 2012, 12:49:30 pm »

So Romney wins I by 11 in VA, by 6 in WI and lose by 1 in CO.

In the 3 states, Republicans seem more energized than democrats (at leat, it's equal).


Conclucion: the party id of these polls is an outrage.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 48,487
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: September 19, 2012, 02:52:30 pm »

98% of WI Dems and 97% of CO Dems and 95% of VA Dems vote for Obama.

Are these new records ?
Logged
timothyinMD
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 438


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: September 19, 2012, 03:05:17 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers
Logged
Marokai Backbeat
Marokai Blue
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,495
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -7.39


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: September 19, 2012, 03:46:33 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers

It's so cool to act tough on a political message board. Now flex those muscles!
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,576
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: September 19, 2012, 06:35:35 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers

At this momment, it's pretty hilarious to call democrats "losers", specially when our candidate is leading in OH, FL, VA, WI, NV and IA.
Logged
Craigo
Full Member
***
Posts: 169
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: September 19, 2012, 06:54:29 pm »
« Edited: September 19, 2012, 06:56:03 pm by Craigo »

So Romney wins I by 11 in VA, by 6 in WI and lose by 1 in CO.

In the 3 states, Republicans seem more energized than democrats (at leat, it's equal).


Conclucion: the party id of these polls is an outrage.

Party ID is a dependent variable of voter intention, and bears only a weak relationship with it. There's a reason why pollsters don't weight by party ID.
Logged
Mister Twister
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 511


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: September 19, 2012, 07:26:54 pm »

Hilarious to see the Democrats creaming their pants over these polls.  What losers

I'd rather be creaming my pants with glee than be in your situation which is "choking the chicken" using your own tears (produced by the recent polling) as lube.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,885
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: September 19, 2012, 11:51:26 pm »

I wouldn't be shocked if the Colorado November 6 average is something like Obama 47-46 and then Obama wins 52-47.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC