MA: UMass/Boston Herald: Brown bounces back; up 4.

[Keystone Phil]

Brown - 49%
Warren - 45%

Taken from September 13th to September 17th.

http://www.boston.com/politicalintelligence/2012/09/19/new-poll-shows-scott-brown-leading-elizabeth-warren-after-four-other-polls-showed-warren-ahead/ZzdmjsJablkEiqRWvyIV0L/story.html

[Zioneer]

How reliable is the pollster?

[DrScholl]

The poll was taken around the same time the others were, the main difference with it is that is only samples 28% Democrats, whereas registration is closer to 36% Democratic. Plus, it has Brown getting 20% of Democrats, something the other polls didn't do. It's pretty hard to see this not being an outlier, with four other polls showing a different picture.

[User157088589849]

I'm sure if this is accurate but people on politico are saying its Karl Rove who financed the poll.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

How reliable is the pollster?

All uni polls (except Quinnipiac) are garbage so....

[Miles]

How reliable is the pollster?

All uni polls (except Quinnipiac) are garbage so....

And Marist polls are pretty decent.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I think it's pretty clear that we have a tight too-close-to-call race. It should come down to who runs a better campaign in the final days. And, of course, the individual campaigns' GOTV.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

In addition to being a university poll, it's also the Boston Herald...

Since this poll was taken at the same time as the other ones, it's an outlier--for now, at least.

[Brittain33]

28% Dem sample in Massachusetts?

[morgieb]

More the Boston Herald rather than Uni poll that gets me.

Outlier afaic.

[Miles]

Entered.

[Eraserhead]

Brown needs to be leading by about this much on election day to win, I suspect. If it's tied or whatever, he'll be buried by the Obama avalanche.