WI: Rasmussen: Obama narrowly ahead

[Miles]

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Rasmussen on 2012-09-19

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, I: 2%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Landslide Lyndon]

Dominating.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

While I disagree with their methodology, Rasmussen is remarkably consistent.  They show the race 3-4 pts more favorable to Romney just about EVERYWHERE.  Even nationally. 

[mondale84]

While I disagree with their methodology, Rasmussen is remarkably consistent.  They show the race 3-4 pts more favorable to Romney just about EVERYWHERE.  Even nationally. 

That's because Scotty is a troll...

[pa2011]

Is it true that Rasmussen doesn't poll cell-phones?

[Craigo]

Is it true that Rasmussen doesn't poll cell-phones?

They're an IVR shop, so no, they do not dial cells.

From what I can tell they try to correct for this by using internet opt-in panels of self-identified cell phone only voters, which comprise roughly 15% of their samples. I'd quibble with both the method and the proportion.

[J. J.]

That is bad news for Romney.  My guess is currently Obama 5-6, which puts it in line with Quinnipiac.

[Brittain33]

Looks like Romney's March Into Wisconsin hit some resistance.

[Likely Voter]

It appears that WI actually isn't following in IA's footsteps and it has snapped back to a lean Obama state. WI+IA was Romney's backup plan if he lost VA or OH (and winning both seems pretty hard at point). He's not going to give up on WI, but he needs a plan C. My bet is he will increase his push in NV (and stay on the air in NH just in case). His only other course would be to go into PA or MI, but those seem like lost causes (especially MI).