Sept. 25th map state of the race?
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Author Topic: Sept. 25th map state of the race?  (Read 1721 times)
opebo
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« on: September 24, 2012, 12:11:48 PM »
« edited: September 24, 2012, 12:14:24 PM by opebo »
What do you think?  Solids, leans, tossups:
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2012, 12:26:45 PM »
Based on polling (incl. todays polls):
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Earthling
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2012, 12:28:58 PM »
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2012, 12:30:56 PM »
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opebo
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2012, 12:37:50 PM »

Nice.  But what's that green independent in NE-2?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2012, 12:38:58 PM »
Quote from: opebo on September 24, 2012, 12:37:50 PM

Nice.  But what's that green independent in NE-2?

The latest poll from yesterday shows NE-02 as a tie.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2012, 12:40:37 PM »
I like opebo's, but I'd make Ohio pink and North Carolina grey.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2012, 12:53:14 PM »
Basically the map right now is the 2008 one, except Obama loses Indiana.
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mondale84
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2012, 01:26:43 PM »


Obama: 347
Romney: 190
Tossup: 1 (Nebraska's 2nd)
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2012, 02:13:27 PM »
Switch Iowa and North Carolina's colors on opebo's map and you've got it.
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Vosem
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2012, 02:58:02 PM »
« Edited: September 24, 2012, 03:39:29 PM by Vosem »


Tossups are for pussies. Dark states are 'locked-in' bar extreme weirdness. Light states could still move, though they're slowly running out of time in which to do so.
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opebo
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2012, 03:01:28 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on September 24, 2012, 02:58:02 PM


Tossups are for pussies. Dark states are 'locked-in' bar extreme weirdness. Light states could still move, though they're slowly running out of time in which to do so.

You have Ohio lean Romney when he has never led in a poll there? 
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Vosem
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2012, 03:38:56 PM »
Quote from: opebo on September 24, 2012, 03:01:28 PM
Quote from: Vosem on September 24, 2012, 02:58:02 PM


Tossups are for pussies. Dark states are 'locked-in' bar extreme weirdness. Light states could still move, though they're slowly running out of time in which to do so.

You have Ohio lean Romney when he has never led in a poll there? 

F**k, that's a mistake. And he hasn't never led in a poll there, just not for a while.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2012, 03:52:46 PM »
I think it is pretty clear that right now Obama leads in all the battlegrounds except maybe NC.

Romney needs Obama to fumble badly in the debate (ideally worse that Bush in 2004) to turn this around.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2012, 03:53:02 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on September 24, 2012, 02:58:02 PM


Tossups are for pussies. Dark states are 'locked-in' bar extreme weirdness. Light states could still move, though they're slowly running out of time in which to do so.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2012, 04:39:04 PM »
FWIW, here is Karl Rove's new map put out today



Apparently he isn't buying the BS from his FOX colleague Dick Morris either
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MagneticFree
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2012, 05:52:14 PM »
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2012, 06:00:46 PM »
« Edited: September 24, 2012, 06:04:04 PM by Oldiesfreak1854 »


Solid Obama- 164
Strong Obama- 12
Lean Obama- 20
Toss-Up- 152
Lean Romney- 32
Strong Romney- 57
Solid Romney- 101

With all states decided:



Obama- 332
Romney- 206
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Badger
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« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2012, 06:31:41 PM »
Quote from: Open Airplane Window Voter on September 24, 2012, 04:39:04 PM
FWIW, here is Karl Rove's new map put out today



Apparently he isn't buying the BS from his FOX colleague Dick Morris either

A 30 day average of polls?!? Well, that's about as useful and relevant as VCR tapes.

That and of the four "Lean Obama" states, Romney doesn't have a freaking prayer--as in isn't even competing in--any but Wisconsin.
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