AZ: Carmona (D) internal poll shows dead heat

[Lief 🗽]

http://atr.rollcall.com/arizona-richard-carmona-internal-poll-shows-dead-heat-in-senate-race/

Flake: 44
Carmona: 43

Interestingly the exact same numbers as the PPP poll.

[Tender Branson]

Looks like that "internal GOP poll showing Carmona up 5" was junk.

[wan]

sounds good

[morgieb]

Wait, Carmona had an internal that showed his vote smaller than Flake's internal?

[Zioneer]

Wait, Carmona had an internal that showed his vote smaller than Flake's internal?

The GOP internal pollsters are terrible at their job, apparently.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Carmona was down still,the Yougov polls showed that.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I expect Flake to pull it off; the Democrats can't overstretch or they'll risk a bigger net loss.

[minionofmidas]

Wait, Carmona had an internal that showed his vote smaller than Flake's internal?

A leaked internal whose existence the Flake campaign acknowledged. Not one they chose to publish, obviously.

If you assume moneyed campaigns have a lot of internals done, both for purposes of studying the details and in the hope of an outlier that pushes their narrative, then obviously these polls will also include outliers in the other direction that usually are never published.