Will the West ever vote as a block again?
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  Will the West ever vote as a block again?
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Author Topic: Will the West ever vote as a block again?  (Read 1018 times)
bgwah
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« on: January 28, 2005, 05:36:01 PM »

The Western United States use to vote as a block, but starting in 1988 and by 2000 it seems to have split in 2.

1916=10/11 for D (OR for R)
1920=11/11 for R
1924=11/11 for R
1928=11/11 for R
1932=11/11 for D
1936=11/11 for D
1940=10/11 for D (CO for R)
1944=9/11 for D (CO, WY for R)
1948=10/11 for D (OR for R)
1952=11/11 for R
1956=11/11 for R
1960=10/13 for R (NV, NM, HI for D)
1964=12/13 for D (AZ for R)
1968=11/13 for R (WA, HI for D)
1972=13/13 for R
1976=12/13 for R (HI for D)
1980=12/13 for R (HI for D)
1984=13/13 for R
1988=10/13 for R (HI, WA, OR for D)
1992=8/13 for D (AK, ID, UT, WY, AZ for R)
1996=7/13 for D (AK, ID, UT, WY, CO, MT for R)
2000=8/13 for R (HI, WA, OR, CA, NM for D)
2004=9/13 for R (HI, WA, OR, CA for D)

ELECTORAL VOTES
1988=111 (81% R, 19% D)
1992=119 (81% D, 19% R)
1996=119 (78% D, 22% R)
2000=119 (68% D, 32% R)
2004=124 (62% D, 38% R)

Will the West ever vote as a block again, not including landslides?
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Rob
Bob
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« Reply #1 on: January 28, 2005, 05:40:06 PM »

No. The West Coast and the Rocky Mountain states are now polar opposites. Nothing but a complete party realignment would form the West into a bloc again.
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A18
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2005, 12:26:54 AM »

Of course. Not in a close election (well, not soon), but in a landslide. Most of those far western states are pretty close. Not in reach, but just out.
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jfern
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2005, 12:56:32 AM »

There used tp be more east-west voting, especially in 1976
1992 was the first time a Democrat had won more than 4 western states with the exception of LBJ's landslide since 1948

1952- 1988 had a strong difference.

East - states that touch the Mississippi, or east of it
West - other states

D/R/O

1948 east 20/11 west 14/5
1952 east 9/22 west 0/19
1956 east 7/24 west 0/19
1960 east: 19/11/1 west 4/15/0
1964 east: 26/5 west 18/1
1968 east: 10/16/5 west 3/18/0
1972 east  1/30 west 0/19
1976 east 21/10 west 2/17
1980 east 5/26 west 1/18
1984 east 1/30 west 0/19
1988 east 7/24 west 3/16
1992 east 24/7 west 8/11
1996 east 24/6 west 7/12
2000 east 15/16 west 5/14
2004 east 15/16 west 4/15
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A18
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« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2005, 01:02:15 AM »

Well, if Illinois counts as an eastern state, then no.
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Colin
ColinW
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« Reply #5 on: January 30, 2005, 11:04:04 AM »

Problem is the west has seperated into two distinct geo-political areas the Rocky Mountains, which votes Republican, and the West Coast, which votes Democrat. The West Coast has only become heavily Democratic since the '80s with an influx of so called "Green" voters in those states and the prominence of latte liberals in California, Oregon and Washington state. So you really have to look at it as two distinct regions for an political analysis to be more accurate. Will the west vote in a block again? No probably not but will the West Coast/Rocky Mountains continue to vote in a block? Yes they will.
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Blue Rectangle
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« Reply #6 on: January 30, 2005, 12:03:56 PM »

The break would have happened a lot earlier than 1988 if not for Nixon and Reagan.  There's a huge difference between the coastal urban centers and the rest of the west and it's not going to change any time soon.
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TexasPatriot2024
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« Reply #7 on: January 30, 2005, 01:05:10 PM »

California and colorado have evolved into completly diffrent cultures, i dont see the west voting as a block any time soon.
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nclib
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« Reply #8 on: January 30, 2005, 02:43:15 PM »

No - at least not in a close election under the current party platforms.

The West Coast is left-libertarian and most of the Rocky Mountain states are right-libertarian. The only way I could see this happening is if the Democrats ran a populist and the Repubs ran a libertarian.
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