IA: Public Policy Polling: Obama increases lead to seven

[RI]

New Poll: Iowa President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-09-26

Summary: D: 51%, R: 44%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Miles]

* seven.

[RI]

* seven.

I can count, really.

[Niemeyerite]

IA should be lean dem now in RCP. That means he has 271 EVs in the bag

[J. J.]

IA should be lean dem now in RCP. That means he has 271 EVs in the bag

Keep thinking that.

[Lief 🗽]

IA should be lean dem now in RCP. That means he has 271 EVs in the bag

Nah, RCP has him at only +4.7 in Iowa: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_romney_vs_obama-1922.html

It's hilarious how much of an outlier Rasmussen is in the state. Three polls with Obama up 7-8 points; one Rasmussen poll with Romney up 3 points. What a joke.

[Niemeyerite]

IA should be lean dem now in RCP. That means he has 271 EVs in the bag

Keep thinking that.

Yes, I'm too pessimistic. Obama will get more than 271 EVs. You and I know it.

[Marokai Backbeat]

I don't really understand why anyone doubted that Iowa would lean, at least slightly, toward Obama. For some reason there's been this weird conventional wisdom over the last year that Iowa has somehow slipped away from him but there's been practically no evidence for that outside of Rasmussen trolling.

[DrScholl]

Keep thinking that.

Everyone knows that Romney is really up by ten. Unskewered polls show that there is a conspiracy to rig the polls in favor of Obummer.

LOL.

[Sbane]

IA should be lean dem now in RCP. That means he has 271 EVs in the bag

Keep thinking that.

At this moment of time, that is the reality. Too bad you can't deal with it.

Of course we still have 2 jobs numbers and the debates to get through.

[Likely Voter]

earlier polling in IA had shown more strength for Romney over Obama but that seems to have been reversed. I think much of this is due to Obama's ground game in the state and his better and bigger ad campaign. Let's face it IA is very white and very rural, which should help with the Republicans, but the state is also populist and Romney's country club Republicanism isn't selling well. Today's Politico has an article on how the 47% thing is even hurting Romney with white men in IA and elsewhere.

[old timey villain]

I don't really understand why anyone doubted that Iowa would lean, at least slightly, toward Obama. For some reason there's been this weird conventional wisdom over the last year that Iowa has somehow slipped away from him but there's been practically no evidence for that outside of Rasmussen trolling.

It's just another effect of the popular right wing claim that Obama has lost support from white voters outside the two coasts. When you look at the polls in Iowa, Ohio and the rest of the rustbelt, it's clear now that this hasn't come to fruition. Obama may be hemorrhaging white support in states like WV, Oklahoma and Arkansas, but that was always going to happen, regardless of who was president and is in no way indicative of a larger trend among white voters nationwide.

I think Republicans would love to consolidate the white vote in the Midwest the way they did in the South, and a more blue collar Republican might have helped start the trend. But, really, you look at Obama and Romney and it's clear which one is more in touch with the average working class American- white, black or whatever.

It's just good to know that the campaign to paint Obama as "the other" hasn't worked on most white Democrats.

[Mister Twister]

How the f*** does Obama have a better ground game in Iowa than Mitt Romney? Mitt Romney was in the damn state for 2 years for the GOP primary! WTF happened?

[Lief 🗽]

How the f*** does Obama have a better ground game in Iowa than Mitt Romney? Mitt Romney was in the damn state for 2 years for the GOP primary! WTF happened?

Packed up and left immediately after the caucus ended. Obama's Des Moines (or one of the big cities, don't remember) field headquarters is located in the same building that Romney's was before he left the state in January.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

How the f*** does Obama have a better ground game in Iowa than Mitt Romney? Mitt Romney was in the damn state for 2 years for the GOP primary! WTF happened?

Packed up and left immediately after the caucus ended. Obama's Des Moines (or one of the big cities, don't remember) field headquarters is located in the same building that Romney's was before he left the state in January.

Romney did that in all the primary states for some reason. He had better organization than his opponents, but after every a primary ended, he'd send his staff to the next state. His Iowa staff went to New Hampshire and his New Hampshire staff went to South Carolina, and so on and so on.
Whereas after 2008s primaries and caucuses, Obama left his ground game in place for the general election and left his general election organization in place for this year.

[Reds4]

You would have thought Romney would have been smarter than that...if he ends up losing a very close election it could easily be what cost him the win.

How the f*** does Obama have a better ground game in Iowa than Mitt Romney? Mitt Romney was in the damn state for 2 years for the GOP primary! WTF happened?

Packed up and left immediately after the caucus ended. Obama's Des Moines (or one of the big cities, don't remember) field headquarters is located in the same building that Romney's was before he left the state in January.

Romney did that in all the primary states for some reason. He had better organization than his opponents, but after every a primary ended, he'd send his staff to the next state. His Iowa staff went to New Hampshire and his New Hampshire staff went to South Carolina, and so on and so on.
Whereas after 2008s primaries and caucuses, Obama left his ground game in place for the general election and left his general election organization in place for this year.