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  MO-Chilenski Strategies/Missouri Scout: Romney up 6
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Author Topic: MO-Chilenski Strategies/Missouri Scout: Romney up 6  (Read 656 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 27, 2012, 06:19:17 am »

50-44 Romney

Respondents: 817 registered voters living in Missouri, with working telephones, who are
likely to vote in 2ovember 2012. The margin of error is +/-3.4%, IVR Study (9//20//2012).

http://moscout.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/MOScout-Poll-9.20.pdf
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2012, 06:29:55 am »

New Poll: Missouri President by Chilenski Strategies on 2012-09-26

Summary: D: 44%, R: 50%, I: 0%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ajb
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2012, 08:58:07 am »

I'm not really invested in who wins Missouri. I don't think Obama is all that likely to win it, really, unless he's doing so well that MO doesn't matter.

But it's worth noting that this is, according to its methodology notes:
a) an IVR poll, which therefore doesn't call cell phones, and which seems not to make any adjustment for the voters it might miss, and
b) a poll which weights for party ID, but not for race.

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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2012, 09:41:25 am »

This same poll had TODD AKIN winning, so I don't place much faith in it.
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ajb
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2012, 09:55:22 am »

This same poll had TODD AKIN winning, so I don't place much faith in it.
Lots of polls have shown Akin ahead, or within striking distance. That's, sadly, not unexpected.
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timothyinMD
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2012, 11:08:03 am »

The sample is 58-42 in favor of women.   2008 turn out was 54-46..

Probably Mitt by 8-9 and Akin by 2-3 then
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2012, 02:16:04 pm »

The sample is 58-42 in favor of women.   2008 turn out was 54-46..

Probably Mitt by 8-9 and Akin by 2-3 then

If you're attacking the fact that there're too many women, the partisan sample may be GOP-friendly Smiley Am I right?
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2012, 02:27:28 pm »

Nope.
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mondale84
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« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2012, 02:57:20 pm »

LOL...no
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