New NBC/WSJ/Marist polls for NV, NH and NC out today @ 6:30pm EST

[Tender Branson]

https://en.twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/251311348514951168

[Tender Branson]

Predictions:

NV: 50-45 Obama
NH: 48-44 Obama
NC: 47-46 Obama

[ajb]

... and the rest of Mark Murray's twitter feed is already filled with complaints about oversampling Democrats.

[Tender Branson]

... and the rest of Mark Murray's twitter feed is already filled with complaints about oversampling Democrats.

I've already sent a counter-tweet on how accurate Marist was in 2008.

[Eraserhead]

Predictions:

NV: 50-45 Obama
NH: 49-46 Obama
NC: 49-47 Obama

[Tender Branson]

Marist didn't poll NC and NV in 2008.

But exactly 4 years ago, Marist also polled NH:

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/Battleground2008/NH080924.pdf

Obama led by 6 among likely voters back then.

So we have a good comparison between the upcoming NH poll and the one from exactly 4 years ago.

[pa2011]

So Ironic that people who don't trust polls this year cite Exit Polls to try to bolster their case for why the polls are wrong.

[xavier110]

my guess:

NV O 52-44
NH O 50-45
NC 48-48

[Earthling]

My prediction:

Nevada                     Obama    51 - 45    Romney
New Hampshire         Obama    49 - 45    Romney
North Carolina           Obama    48 - 47    Romney

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Wish they'd poll North Dakota. :/

[timothyinMD]

NV: Obama +11
NH: Obama +7
NC: Obama +4

just gonna be more of the same.. Obama's already re-elected.. blah blah blah

[Reds4]

My Prediction

Nevada: Obama 52-43

New Hampshire: Obama 49-45

North Carolina: Obama 48-47

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Prediction.
NV: Obama 52, Romney 44
NH: Obama 50, Romney 45
NC: Obama 49, Romney 47

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that NH is tight, nearly as tight as NC, while NV has a comfortable 6-7% lead for Obama.

[Likely Voter]

Prediction.
NV: Obama 51, Romney 45
NH: Obama 49, Romney 46
NC: Obama 47, Romney 47

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Romney needs a game-changer in these polls.  OH, FL, VA, WI, CO, and IA were all brutal for him in the NBC polls the last couple weeks.  Another brutal result and NBC will have concluded their tour of the nine swing states and had Obama ahead in every single one.  And Romney doesnt nedd to have just 3 or 4 of them; more like 5 or 6.

[Vern]

NV: 52-43 Obama
NC: 50-46 Obama
NH: 49-45 Obama

[Lief 🗽]

I'd be surprised if Obama didn't have a lead in all three of them, though apparently New Hampshire and North Carolina are the closest states at the moment.

[RI]

I don't believe NH will be that close. There hasn't been a reliable poll out of there in quite some time. It would be hard to imagine that Obama's national bounce didn't affect there.

[pa2011]

I'd be surprised if Obama didn't have a lead in all three of them, though apparently New Hampshire and North Carolina are the closest states at the moment.

Yea, read somewhere this week that pollsters for both campaigns have identified New Hampshire and North Carolina as the two closet states. Guess we will see if that shows up in the Marist poll.

[Lief 🗽]

And the numbers are:

NV: Obama 49, Romney 47
NC: Obama 48, Romney 46
NH: Obama 51, Romney 44

http://www.cnbc.com/id/49200088

[Holmes]

Nevada numbers look a little too close for comfort, but the rest are good.

[Marokai Backbeat]

Yeah, I'm happy with those New Hampshire and North Carolina numbers but Nevada looks bizarrely close there for some reason.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Yeah, only NV is bucking the trend... but I'd want to read the cross tabs in these before I make a judgement.

[Mehmentum]

He's doing better than I expected in New Hampshire, but worse than I expected in Nevada.  Still, leading in all 3 states is good news for Obama.