NC-ARG: Romney leads by 4
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  NC-ARG: Romney leads by 4
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Author Topic: NC-ARG: Romney leads by 4  (Read 885 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 01, 2012, 10:13:59 AM »

50% - Romney
46% - Obama

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/NC12.html
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2012, 10:35:11 AM »

Lol ARG...
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opebo
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2012, 11:23:15 AM »

Racist video beginning to turn things in favor of Romney.
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2012, 11:28:52 AM »

Like PPP, ARG finds Romney with a double digit lead amongst Independent voters. Romney leads 55-40% w/ Indys per ARG, and 54-36% w/ Indys PPP. One of the reasons PPP has it tied and ARG ROmney +4 is that PPP's survey showed voters party ID to be D+14, while ARG finds it to be D+10.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2012, 11:43:12 AM »

Like PPP, ARG finds Romney with a double digit lead amongst Independent voters. Romney leads 55-40% w/ Indys per ARG, and 54-36% w/ Indys PPP. One of the reasons PPP has it tied and ARG ROmney +4 is that PPP's survey showed voters party ID to be D+14, while ARG finds it to be D+10.

Registration in NC is D+12 at the moment.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2012, 12:03:40 PM »

Like PPP, ARG finds Romney with a double digit lead amongst Independent voters.

Party surveys have shown a rise in independent voters matched by a decline in GOP voters while Dem identification holds steady. You do the math on what that means...
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2012, 12:11:26 PM »
« Edited: October 01, 2012, 12:16:29 PM by Skewed Voter »

Like PPP, ARG finds Romney with a double digit lead amongst Independent voters. Romney leads 55-40% w/ Indys per ARG, and 54-36% w/ Indys PPP. One of the reasons PPP has it tied and ARG ROmney +4 is that PPP's survey showed voters party ID to be D+14, while ARG finds it to be D+10.

How many times to people have to say that party ID changes and is not immutable. Party ID is not like race/sex/age, it is more like presidential approval. There are two possibilities:
A. The polls are tracking a shift following DNC and 47%.
B. The polls suddenly flawed in the last month (and possibly part of a conspiracy).


As for NC, it is still amazing that this state is still in play. Romney was supposed to have this state locked down like MO and IN by his convention.
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2012, 12:39:06 PM »
« Edited: October 01, 2012, 12:43:27 PM by MorningInAmerica »

Like PPP, ARG finds Romney with a double digit lead amongst Independent voters. Romney leads 55-40% w/ Indys per ARG, and 54-36% w/ Indys PPP. One of the reasons PPP has it tied and ARG ROmney +4 is that PPP's survey showed voters party ID to be D+14, while ARG finds it to be D+10.

How many times to people have to say that party ID changes and is not immutable. Party ID is not like race/sex/age, it is more like presidential approval. There are two possibilities:


How is it that you manage to quote me yourself, then respond to an argument that I'm not making? Please read what you quoted. All I said was that the less Democratic party ID in the ARG poll could help account for the difference in ARG's and PPP's topline. Where in the world did I say anything about "party ID changes not being immutable?" STOP PROJECTING, and stop freaking out when you see the word Party ID. And for goodness sake, read what people say, especially if you're going to quote them in your response.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2012, 12:57:14 PM »

People are taking ARG seriously? Why? How short are your memories?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2012, 01:36:24 PM »

People are taking ARG seriously? Why? How short are your memories?

Only opebo and krazey take them seriously, which tells you all you need to know.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2012, 04:54:29 PM »

McCain won independents in North Carolina pretty heavily, if I remember; it's that the state has a strong Democratic registration advantage.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2012, 05:30:24 PM »

NC is going to be VERY close again... I doubt anyone has an lead beyond 2% right now.
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