NC-ARG: Romney leads by 4 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 01:05:45 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NC-ARG: Romney leads by 4 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NC-ARG: Romney leads by 4  (Read 897 times)
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


« on: October 01, 2012, 12:11:26 PM »
« edited: October 01, 2012, 12:16:29 PM by Skewed Voter »

Like PPP, ARG finds Romney with a double digit lead amongst Independent voters. Romney leads 55-40% w/ Indys per ARG, and 54-36% w/ Indys PPP. One of the reasons PPP has it tied and ARG ROmney +4 is that PPP's survey showed voters party ID to be D+14, while ARG finds it to be D+10.

How many times to people have to say that party ID changes and is not immutable. Party ID is not like race/sex/age, it is more like presidential approval. There are two possibilities:
A. The polls are tracking a shift following DNC and 47%.
B. The polls suddenly flawed in the last month (and possibly part of a conspiracy).


As for NC, it is still amazing that this state is still in play. Romney was supposed to have this state locked down like MO and IN by his convention.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 14 queries.