AZ-PPP: Romney ahead by 9

[danny]

I expect Romney to win around 52% of the vote, and Obama about 41%

You expect that much to go to third parties (7%)!?!

Why may I ask?

There are 3 candidates that I know of are running as third party.  They could split the vote by 2-2.5% at least.

I know math isn't your strong suit (or thinking in general, for that matter), but 2% is NOT equal to 7%

You should really watch what you say, cause you're going to piss some people off by saying negative attacks.  Don't be a jackass.  

My numbers are off, no need to point out the obvious stuff.  When you have 3 third party candidates that take 2.5%, 2.5% and 2%, it adds up to 7%.

The math is good, but I don't see why you would get 3 parties with at least 2%, when in 2008 none managed even close to 1%.