Post 1st Debate: Who will win the Election?

[Eraserhead]

Obama. I'm not sure if Romney will even get a bump out of this (although the MSM lovefest may produce one in itself).

[Eraserhead]

I'm not quite sure about this; Obama being defeated at what he usually excels does not bear well for him even if he still leads the polls.

Obama has never been an incredible debater, to be honest. He managed to beat McCain in '08 but that was only after about 9,000 debates with Hillary Clinton (and MSM declared him the loser of at least 8,000 of them).

[Eraserhead]

gonna take a lot more than this.  Intrade is severely overreacting -- Obama is down from 75 to 65

I wonder if one should buy Obama now or wait a couple of days to see if an actual drop in the polls does materialize.

[Eraserhead]

I'm not quite sure about this; Obama being defeated at what he usually excels does not bear well for him even if he still leads the polls.

Obama has never been an incredible debater, to be honest. He managed to beat McCain in '08 but that was only after about 9,000 debates with Hillary Clinton (and MSM declared him the loser of at least 8,000 of them).

People have very short memories... He beat McCain because McCain was only slightly worse than he was.

Also, Obama's not done a debate like this for 4 years.

Indeed. He had a ton of practice in the form of his debates against Clinton in '08. Romney was the practiced one here, not that he was up against incredibly challenging opponents in his primary...

[Eraserhead]

Well Ford's debate gaffe arguably cost him the election, but Obama didn't have anything comparable.

Nixon cost Ford the election, the fact that it ever came as close as it did was a total joke.

Plus Ford was basically only a pseudo incumbent anyway.